cbb·system

Northern Illinois Huskies

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Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.13 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.20 possessions per game 4.45

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northern Illinois AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.57 to 1.22 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
2022921 0.300

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNorthern Illinois auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-05 2022 Ohio @ Northern Illinois 57–58 regular
2022-03-02 2022 Kent State @ Northern Illinois 63–55 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Northern Illinois @ Buffalo 60–70 regular
2022-02-25 2022 Buffalo @ Northern Illinois 79–68 regular
2022-02-23 2022 Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan 72–74 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Miami (OH) @ Northern Illinois 78–75 regular
2022-02-18 2022 Northern Illinois @ Akron 66–63 regular
2022-02-16 2022 Northern Illinois @ Ball State 64–58 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Toledo @ Northern Illinois 100–72 regular
2022-02-09 2022 Akron @ Northern Illinois 70–64 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green 65–87 regular
2022-02-02 2022 Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan 75–56 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois 69–63 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Ball State @ Northern Illinois 74–67 regular
2022-01-26 2022 Northern Illinois @ Ohio 62–74 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Northern Illinois @ Miami (OH) 82–85 regular
2022-01-19 2022 Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois 92–83 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois 70–77 regular
2022-01-12 2022 Northern Illinois @ Kent State 65–63 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Northern Illinois @ Toledo 63–94 regular
2022-01-05 2022 Buffalo @ Northern Illinois scheduled regular
2021-12-29 2022 Ball State @ Northern Illinois scheduled regular
2021-12-23 2022 Indiana State @ Northern Illinois canceled regular
2021-12-19 2022 Northern Illinois @ UIC 60–61 regular
2021-12-13 2022 Northern Illinois @ Chicago State 70–59 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Northern Illinois @ Dayton 41–79 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Eastern Illinois @ Northern Illinois 45–55 regular
2021-11-28 2022 Northern Illinois @ Marquette 66–80 regular
2021-11-22 2022 Northern Illinois @ Little Rock N 60–67 regular
2021-11-21 2022 Boston University @ Northern Illinois N 76–58 regular
2021-11-19 2022 Northern Illinois @ Missouri 37–54 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Northern Illinois @ Indiana 49–85 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Northern Illinois @ Washington 71–64 regular