cbb·system

Western Carolina Catamounts

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.70 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.35 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.85 possessions per game 4.55

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 26 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Western Carolina AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.70 to 1.31 over 124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
2022723 0.233

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbWestern Carolina auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-03 2022 Western Carolina @ Mercer N 46–85 conf_tournament
2022-02-26 2022 Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro 39–67 regular
2022-02-23 2022 Emory & Henry @ Western Carolina 39–42 non_d1
2022-02-19 2022 Chattanooga @ Western Carolina 63–47 regular
2022-02-18 2022 East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina 58–51 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Western Carolina @ Samford 51–64 regular
2022-02-11 2022 Western Carolina @ Mercer 40–46 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Wofford @ Western Carolina 71–49 regular
2022-02-04 2022 Furman @ Western Carolina 63–58 regular
2022-01-29 2022 UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina 64–29 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State 45–68 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Western Carolina @ Chattanooga 48–55 regular
2022-01-18 2022 Southern Wesleyan @ Western Carolina postponed non_d1
2022-01-15 2022 Mercer @ Western Carolina 69–58 regular
2022-01-14 2022 Samford @ Western Carolina 62–47 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Western Carolina @ Furman 59–71 regular
2022-01-06 2022 Western Carolina @ Wofford 48–72 regular
2022-01-02 2022 Montreat @ Western Carolina 23–79 non_d1
2021-12-31 2022 Southern Wesleyan @ Western Carolina postponed non_d1
2021-12-20 2022 Davidson @ Western Carolina 68–46 regular
2021-12-12 2022 Western Carolina @ South Carolina State 61–52 regular
2021-12-10 2022 Tennessee Tech @ Western Carolina 67–50 regular
2021-12-07 2022 Western Carolina @ Campbell 40–53 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Western Carolina @ Winthrop 55–71 regular
2021-12-02 2022 South Carolina Upstate @ Western Carolina 58–51 regular
2021-11-30 2022 Mars Hill @ Western Carolina 51–70 non_d1
2021-11-26 2022 Western Carolina @ Alabama 43–77 regular
2021-11-23 2022 Western Carolina @ Cincinnati 45–46 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Charleston Southern @ Western Carolina 48–74 regular
2021-11-16 2022 Presbyterian @ Western Carolina 51–52 regular
2021-11-13 2022 UNC Asheville @ Western Carolina 74–72 regular
2021-11-09 2022 Emory & Henry @ Western Carolina 48–72 non_d1