cbb·system

Western Carolina Catamounts

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.81 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.29 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.15 possessions per game 4.85

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Western Carolina AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.45 to 1.10 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020525 0.167

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbWestern Carolina auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-05 2020 Western Carolina @ Samford N 62–77 conf_tournament
2020-02-29 2020 Western Carolina @ Samford 53–70 regular
2020-02-28 2020 Western Carolina @ Mercer 54–60 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Wofford @ Western Carolina 65–58 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Furman @ Western Carolina 69–59 regular
2020-02-15 2020 UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina 72–61 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Western Carolina @ Chattanooga 61–53 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State 49–76 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Mercer @ Western Carolina 40–51 regular
2020-01-31 2020 Samford @ Western Carolina 62–50 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Western Carolina @ Furman 53–69 regular
2020-01-24 2020 Western Carolina @ Wofford 63–76 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro 43–54 regular
2020-01-11 2020 East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina 62–57 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Chattanooga @ Western Carolina 59–52 regular
2020-01-07 2020 Southern Wesleyan @ Western Carolina 37–70 non_d1
2019-12-30 2020 Western Carolina @ Charleston 62–73 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Winthrop @ Western Carolina 63–60 regular
2019-12-18 2020 Tennessee Tech @ Western Carolina 62–58 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Cleveland State @ Western Carolina 68–61 regular
2019-12-05 2020 Charleston Southern @ Western Carolina 64–69 regular
2019-11-27 2020 Western Carolina @ Gardner-Webb 62–88 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Coastal Carolina @ Western Carolina 66–43 regular
2019-11-21 2020 Western Carolina @ Davidson 51–101 regular
2019-11-18 2020 UNC Asheville @ Western Carolina 64–47 regular
2019-11-15 2020 Campbell @ Western Carolina 61–40 regular
2019-11-12 2020 Western Carolina @ South Carolina Upstate 62–70 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Western Carolina @ Elon 24–68 regular
2019-11-07 2020 Western Carolina @ North Carolina 55–92 regular
2019-11-06 2020 UVA Wise @ Western Carolina 55–64 non_d1