cbb·system

Western Carolina Catamounts

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.09 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.30 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.12 possessions per game 4.78

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 27 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Western Carolina AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 52.80 to 133.00 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023921 0.300

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbWestern Carolina auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-02 2023 Western Carolina @ Wofford N 56–71 conf_tournament
2023-02-26 2023 East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina 90–84 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Chattanooga @ Western Carolina 62–44 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro 59–72 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Western Carolina @ Wofford 62–83 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Western Carolina @ Furman 53–66 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Samford @ Western Carolina 72–63 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Mercer @ Western Carolina 68–44 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Western Carolina @ Chattanooga 56–48 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State 39–70 regular
2023-01-20 2023 UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina 83–59 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Furman @ Western Carolina 60–46 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Wofford @ Western Carolina 49–53 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Western Carolina @ Mercer 40–76 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Western Carolina @ Samford 47–59 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Southern Wesleyan @ Western Carolina 46–64 non_d1
2022-12-22 2023 UNC Wilmington @ Western Carolina 60–51 regular
2022-12-20 2023 North Carolina Central @ Western Carolina 74–66 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Montreat @ Western Carolina 51–69 non_d1
2022-12-10 2023 Western Carolina @ Clemson 42–81 regular
2022-12-07 2023 Campbell @ Western Carolina 46–49 regular
2022-12-03 2023 UAB @ Western Carolina 71–58 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Queens University @ Western Carolina 59–68 regular
2022-11-28 2023 Western Carolina @ UNC Asheville 51–64 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Western Carolina @ Charleston Southern 43–62 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Western Carolina @ South Carolina Upstate 58–48 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Western Carolina @ Presbyterian 67–68 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Western Carolina @ LSU 34–107 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Winthrop @ Western Carolina 47–48 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Bluefield State @ Western Carolina 46–63 non_d1