cbb·system

Western Michigan Broncos

mens MAC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.14 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.11 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.58 possessions per game 4.42

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Western Michigan AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.86 to 1.41 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251220 0.375

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdWestern Michigan auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-13 2025 Western Michigan @ Kent State N 66–73 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Western Michigan @ Bowling Green 64–63 regular
2025-03-05 2025 Kent State @ Western Michigan 77–76 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois 74–70 regular
2025-02-26 2025 Ohio @ Western Michigan 73–82 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Central Michigan @ Western Michigan 86–57 regular
2025-02-19 2025 Western Michigan @ Buffalo 97–64 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan 70–78 regular
2025-02-12 2025 Western Michigan @ Akron 92–105 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Georgia Southern @ Western Michigan 83–57 regular
2025-02-05 2025 Western Michigan @ Ohio 69–94 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan 54–61 regular
2025-01-29 2025 Western Michigan @ Ball State 74–71 regular
2025-01-26 2025 Western Michigan @ Central Michigan 52–73 regular
2025-01-22 2025 Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan 70–72 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Buffalo @ Western Michigan 85–76 regular
2025-01-15 2025 Western Michigan @ Kent State 94–83 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Western Michigan @ Miami (OH) 71–91 regular
2025-01-08 2025 Bowling Green @ Western Michigan 83–79 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Toledo @ Western Michigan 76–70 regular
2024-12-30 2025 Western Michigan @ Michigan State 62–80 regular
2024-12-20 2025 Valparaiso @ Western Michigan 76–73 regular
2024-12-15 2025 Western Michigan @ North Dakota State 62–98 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Western Michigan @ St. Thomas-Minnesota 71–77 regular
2024-12-04 2025 Western Michigan @ Dayton 69–77 regular
2024-11-27 2025 Western Michigan @ Youngstown State 73–62 regular
2024-11-21 2025 South Dakota @ Western Michigan 80–76 regular
2024-11-17 2025 Canisius @ Western Michigan 69–92 regular
2024-11-15 2025 SIU Edwardsville @ Western Michigan 79–60 regular
2024-11-12 2025 Western Michigan @ Butler 65–85 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Davenport @ Western Michigan 46–86 non_d1
2024-11-05 2025 Western Michigan @ Coastal Carolina 56–60 regular