cbb·system

UTSA Roadrunners

mens CUSA canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.04 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.14 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.10 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.01 possessions per game 4.29

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UTSA AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.63 to 1.30 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231022 0.312

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdUTSA auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-09 2023 UTSA @ Rice N 71–72 conf_tournament
2023-03-03 2023 Charlotte @ UTSA 73–78 regular
2023-02-26 2023 UTSA @ Florida International 95–91 regular
2023-02-24 2023 UTSA @ Florida Atlantic 66–106 regular
2023-02-18 2023 UAB @ UTSA 83–78 regular
2023-02-17 2023 UTSA @ Rice 84–79 regular
2023-02-11 2023 UTEP @ UTSA 77–66 regular
2023-02-04 2023 UTSA @ Middle Tennessee 60–84 regular
2023-02-03 2023 UTSA @ Western Kentucky 74–81 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Louisiana Tech @ UTSA 66–55 regular
2023-01-27 2023 UTSA @ North Texas 59–63 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Florida International @ UTSA 77–72 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Florida Atlantic @ UTSA 83–64 regular
2023-01-17 2023 Rice @ UTSA 88–81 regular
2023-01-14 2023 UTSA @ Charlotte 54–72 regular
2023-01-12 2023 UTSA @ UTEP 57–69 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Western Kentucky @ UTSA 74–64 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Middle Tennessee @ UTSA 72–75 regular
2022-12-31 2023 UTSA @ UAB 67–90 regular
2022-12-30 2023 UTSA @ Louisiana Tech 69–91 regular
2022-12-23 2023 North Texas @ UTSA 78–54 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Bethune-Cookman @ UTSA 69–90 regular
2022-12-14 2023 UTSA @ Utah 70–91 regular
2022-12-10 2023 UTSA @ New Mexico 76–94 regular
2022-11-29 2023 Incarnate Word @ UTSA 62–68 regular
2022-11-28 2023 Dartmouth @ UTSA 78–77 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Grambling @ UTSA 75–55 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Prairie View A&M @ UTSA 75–82 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Texas State @ UTSA 56–61 regular
2022-11-15 2023 St. Mary's (TX) @ UTSA 59–66 non_d1
2022-11-12 2023 UTSA @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 55–75 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Trinity (TX) @ UTSA 47–74 non_d1