cbb·system

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

mens CAA canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.13 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.08 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.58 possessions per game 4.66

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UNC Wilmington AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 0.83 to 1.41 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
2026277 0.794

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdUNC Wilmington auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-21 2026 Dayton @ UNC Wilmington 80–61 nit
2026-03-17 2026 UNC Wilmington @ Yale 68–67 nit
2026-03-08 2026 Campbell @ UNC Wilmington N 85–70 conf_tournament
2026-03-04 2026 UNC Wilmington @ Elon 76–57 regular
2026-03-02 2026 Charleston @ UNC Wilmington 79–76 regular
2026-02-27 2026 North Carolina A&T @ UNC Wilmington 65–88 regular
2026-02-21 2026 UNC Wilmington @ Campbell 73–68 regular
2026-02-20 2026 Monmouth @ UNC Wilmington 69–79 regular
2026-02-14 2026 Hofstra @ UNC Wilmington 66–70 regular
2026-02-13 2026 Elon @ UNC Wilmington 54–65 regular
2026-02-10 2026 UNC Wilmington @ Charleston 76–64 regular
2026-02-06 2026 William & Mary @ UNC Wilmington 85–78 regular
2026-01-30 2026 UNC Wilmington @ Towson 82–73 regular
2026-01-24 2026 UNC Wilmington @ Hampton 75–67 regular
2026-01-23 2026 UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary 70–77 regular
2026-01-18 2026 Campbell @ UNC Wilmington 75–78 regular
2026-01-10 2026 UNC Wilmington @ Stony Brook 75–71 regular
2026-01-09 2026 UNC Wilmington @ Northeastern 87–78 regular
2026-01-04 2026 Hampton @ UNC Wilmington 45–49 regular
2026-01-01 2026 Drexel @ UNC Wilmington 53–65 regular
2025-12-30 2026 UNC Wilmington @ North Carolina A&T 87–78 regular
2025-12-27 2026 Columbia College (SC) @ UNC Wilmington 56–100 non_d1
2025-12-20 2026 Howard @ UNC Wilmington 67–66 regular
2025-12-13 2026 UNC Wilmington @ Valparaiso 73–70 regular
2025-12-06 2026 UNC Wilmington @ Louisiana 70–63 regular
2025-12-04 2026 Marshall @ UNC Wilmington 69–70 regular
2025-11-29 2026 Gardner-Webb @ UNC Wilmington 62–88 regular
2025-11-28 2026 Navy @ UNC Wilmington 57–87 regular
2025-11-27 2026 SE Louisiana @ UNC Wilmington 57–70 regular
2025-11-22 2026 UNC Wilmington @ Radford 81–73 regular
2025-11-19 2026 East Carolina @ UNC Wilmington 60–85 regular
2025-11-16 2026 South Carolina Upstate @ UNC Wilmington 60–73 regular
2025-11-11 2026 UNC Wilmington @ Kent State 77–86 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Mount Olive @ UNC Wilmington 77–106 non_d1