cbb·system

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

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Ratings · 2024

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.15 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.09 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.06 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.13 possessions per game 4.69

At season 2024's latest cutoff (2024-04-09 01:20), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UNC Wilmington AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024. Axis spans 55.75 to 77.47 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2024

SeasonWLPct
20242110 0.677

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdUNC Wilmington auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2024-03-10 2024 Towson @ UNC Wilmington N 66–56 conf_tournament
2024-03-02 2024 Towson @ UNC Wilmington 64–75 regular
2024-03-01 2024 Hofstra @ UNC Wilmington 69–58 regular
2024-02-27 2024 UNC Wilmington @ Campbell 100–105 regular
2024-02-23 2024 UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary 81–65 regular
2024-02-18 2024 Elon @ UNC Wilmington 73–72 regular
2024-02-16 2024 North Carolina A&T @ UNC Wilmington 54–73 regular
2024-02-10 2024 UNC Wilmington @ Hampton 95–65 regular
2024-02-09 2024 Drexel @ UNC Wilmington 56–75 regular
2024-02-04 2024 Campbell @ UNC Wilmington 74–77 regular
2024-02-02 2024 UNC Wilmington @ Charleston 80–74 regular
2024-01-27 2024 UNC Wilmington @ Stony Brook 78–86 regular
2024-01-26 2024 UNC Wilmington @ Northeastern 77–54 regular
2024-01-20 2024 Charleston @ UNC Wilmington 69–78 regular
2024-01-19 2024 UNC Wilmington @ Elon 82–70 regular
2024-01-14 2024 Delaware @ UNC Wilmington 74–79 regular
2024-01-12 2024 Monmouth @ UNC Wilmington 56–69 regular
2024-01-06 2024 UNC Wilmington @ Towson 64–67 regular
2024-01-05 2024 UNC Wilmington @ Drexel 63–78 regular
2023-12-30 2024 UNC Wilmington @ Arkansas 90–106 regular
2023-12-22 2024 UNC Wilmington @ Marshall 78–69 regular
2023-12-16 2024 UNC Wilmington @ Georgia Southern 82–77 regular
2023-12-10 2024 Montreat @ UNC Wilmington 50–119 non_d1
2023-12-02 2024 UNC Wilmington @ Kentucky 80–73 regular
2023-12-01 2024 UNC Wilmington @ East Carolina 66–74 regular
2023-11-25 2024 UNC Wilmington @ Florida Gulf Coast 71–55 regular
2023-11-21 2024 UNC Wilmington @ App State N 56–86 regular
2023-11-20 2024 Murray State @ UNC Wilmington N 81–83 regular
2023-11-15 2024 Columbia International @ UNC Wilmington 80–116 non_d1
2023-11-11 2024 UNC Wilmington @ UNC Asheville 83–66 regular
2023-11-07 2024 Mount Olive @ UNC Wilmington 66–105 non_d1