cbb·system

Elon Phoenix

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.81 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.14 points per possession 0.17
PACE 75.68 possessions per game 4.29

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 27 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Elon AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.66 to 1.21 over 84 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151913 0.594

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbElon auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-19 2015 Elon @ Georgia Tech 47–69 other_postseason
2015-03-14 2015 Elon @ James Madison N 60–63 conf_tournament
2015-03-13 2015 UNC Wilmington @ Elon N 48–60 conf_tournament
2015-03-05 2015 Delaware @ Elon 76–77 regular
2015-03-01 2015 Elon @ Hofstra 64–58 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Elon @ Drexel 51–54 regular
2015-02-22 2015 William & Mary @ Elon 60–64 regular
2015-02-20 2015 Elon @ Northeastern 74–73 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Hofstra @ Elon 55–53 regular
2015-02-13 2015 UNC Wilmington @ Elon 86–82 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Elon @ Charleston 75–71 regular
2015-02-06 2015 Elon @ Towson 84–70 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Elon @ James Madison 60–89 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Northeastern @ Elon 77–80 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Elon @ UNC Wilmington 68–76 regular
2015-01-18 2015 Towson @ Elon 43–58 regular
2015-01-16 2015 James Madison @ Elon 68–51 regular
2015-01-11 2015 Charleston @ Elon 68–77 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Elon @ William & Mary 72–59 regular
2015-01-07 2015 Drexel @ Elon 57–47 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Elon @ Delaware 60–50 regular
2014-12-31 2015 Lenoir Rhyne @ Elon 46–62 non_d1
2014-12-30 2015 Furman @ Elon 71–81 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Elon @ North Carolina N 67–85 regular
2014-12-17 2015 Elon @ Campbell 77–51 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Vanderbilt @ Elon 66–50 regular
2014-12-07 2015 Elon @ NC State 51–84 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Elon @ High Point 71–87 regular
2014-11-26 2015 Liberty @ Elon 62–73 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Elon @ Charlotte 67–54 regular
2014-11-16 2015 Navy @ Elon 56–69 regular
2014-11-14 2015 Anderson (SC) @ Elon 72–77 non_d1