cbb·system

Elon Phoenix

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.90 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.04 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.90 possessions per game 4.60

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Elon AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.55 to 1.21 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201416 0.467

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbElon auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-12 2020 Elon @ James Madison N canceled conf_tournament
2020-03-11 2020 Hofstra @ Elon 51–71 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Towson @ Elon 52–68 regular
2020-03-06 2020 James Madison @ Elon 61–58 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Elon @ William & Mary 61–74 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Elon @ Drexel 47–66 regular
2020-02-21 2020 Elon @ Delaware 60–73 regular
2020-02-16 2020 Northeastern @ Elon 69–45 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Hofstra @ Elon 50–67 regular
2020-02-09 2020 Elon @ Charleston 85–57 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Elon @ UNC Wilmington 60–57 regular
2020-02-01 2020 William & Mary @ Elon 84–77 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Delaware @ Elon 65–56 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Drexel @ Elon 55–53 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Elon @ Hofstra 69–56 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Elon @ Northeastern 65–68 regular
2020-01-12 2020 UNC Wilmington @ Elon 53–77 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Charleston @ Elon 48–90 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Elon @ James Madison 48–61 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Elon @ Towson 74–61 regular
2019-12-31 2020 Elon @ Furman 87–76 regular
2019-12-19 2020 Elon @ Coastal Carolina N 65–76 regular
2019-12-18 2020 Newberry @ Elon N 53–73 non_d1
2019-12-15 2020 Elon @ NC State N 49–62 regular
2019-12-01 2020 IU Indianapolis @ Elon N 59–53 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Elon @ UNLV 50–44 regular
2019-11-26 2020 Wake Forest @ Elon 69–57 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Elon @ North Carolina 46–76 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Elon @ Marist 55–63 regular
2019-11-14 2020 App State @ Elon 66–67 regular
2019-11-10 2020 Western Carolina @ Elon 24–68 regular