cbb·system

Elon Phoenix

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.00 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.50 possessions per game 4.54

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Elon AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 53.44 to 151.62 over 124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221712 0.586

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbElon auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-11 2022 Charleston @ Elon N 70–59 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Elon @ William & Mary 49–45 regular
2022-03-03 2022 William & Mary @ Elon 61–85 regular
2022-02-27 2022 Elon @ Drexel 57–72 regular
2022-02-25 2022 Elon @ Delaware 61–65 regular
2022-02-23 2022 UNC Wilmington @ Elon 43–64 regular
2022-02-20 2022 Northeastern @ Elon 65–78 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Hofstra @ Elon 53–66 regular
2022-02-13 2022 Elon @ Charleston 71–66 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Elon @ UNC Wilmington 69–59 regular
2022-02-06 2022 Towson @ Elon 67–52 regular
2022-02-05 2022 James Madison @ Elon 71–56 regular
2022-01-30 2022 Delaware @ Elon 87–65 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Drexel @ Elon 72–60 regular
2022-01-23 2022 Elon @ Hofstra 62–58 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Elon @ Northeastern 52–68 regular
2022-01-16 2022 UNC Wilmington @ Elon postponed regular
2022-01-15 2022 Charleston @ Elon 60–65 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Elon @ James Madison 57–59 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Elon @ Towson 54–66 regular
2022-01-04 2022 William & Mary @ Elon postponed regular
2021-12-31 2022 Francis Marion @ Elon canceled non_d1
2021-12-21 2022 Gardner-Webb @ Elon 65–77 regular
2021-12-16 2022 Elon @ UNC Greensboro 52–49 regular
2021-12-12 2022 Davidson @ Elon 51–65 regular
2021-12-05 2022 Elon @ NC State 46–78 regular
2021-11-30 2022 North Carolina Central @ Elon 51–73 regular
2021-11-26 2022 Elon @ South Carolina 38–79 regular
2021-11-23 2022 North Carolina A&T @ Elon 66–76 regular
2021-11-18 2022 Elon @ Richmond 71–50 regular
2021-11-16 2022 Howard @ Elon 44–60 regular
2021-11-09 2022 Elon @ High Point 68–66 regular