cbb·system

Montana Lady Griz

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.04 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.51 possessions per game 5.09

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Montana AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.66 to 1.20 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181417 0.452

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMontana auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-07 2018 Montana @ Northern Colorado N 69–78 conf_tournament
2018-03-05 2018 Sacramento State @ Montana N 80–87 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Montana @ Idaho State 60–72 regular
2018-03-01 2018 Montana @ Weber State 73–89 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Montana State @ Montana 63–87 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Idaho @ Montana 67–56 regular
2018-02-16 2018 Eastern Washington @ Montana 75–72 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Montana @ Sacramento State 64–79 regular
2018-02-09 2018 Montana @ Portland State 53–70 regular
2018-02-03 2018 North Dakota @ Montana 51–53 regular
2018-02-02 2018 Northern Colorado @ Montana 64–58 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Montana @ Northern Arizona 69–52 regular
2018-01-26 2018 Montana @ Southern Utah 74–65 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Montana @ Montana State 64–81 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Portland State @ Montana 53–69 regular
2018-01-12 2018 Sacramento State @ Montana 59–68 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Montana @ Northern Colorado 50–68 regular
2018-01-05 2018 Montana @ North Dakota 54–43 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Southern Utah @ Montana 71–81 regular
2017-12-29 2018 Northern Arizona @ Montana 62–70 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Rocky Mountain @ Montana 38–54 non_d1
2017-12-13 2018 Seattle U @ Montana 78–64 regular
2017-12-10 2018 Montana @ Fresno State 58–61 regular
2017-12-08 2018 Stephen F. Austin @ Montana 52–60 regular
2017-12-03 2018 Long Beach State @ Montana 60–67 regular
2017-12-02 2018 Cal State Fullerton @ Montana 47–68 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Marquette @ Montana N 87–68 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Montana @ Indiana State N 45–57 regular
2017-11-19 2018 Gonzaga @ Montana 70–55 regular
2017-11-17 2018 Kentucky @ Montana 71–54 regular
2017-11-14 2018 Montana @ Wyoming 62–67 regular