cbb·system

Montana Lady Griz

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.99 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.04 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.16 possessions per game 4.66

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Montana AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.63 to 1.26 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201713 0.567

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMontana auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-10 2020 Northern Arizona @ Montana N 68–65 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Montana @ Southern Utah 81–84 regular
2020-03-05 2020 Montana @ Northern Colorado 70–55 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Sacramento State @ Montana 45–90 regular
2020-02-28 2020 Northern Arizona @ Montana 57–70 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Montana @ Montana State 78–92 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Montana @ Idaho State 59–72 regular
2020-02-13 2020 Montana @ Weber State 78–46 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Idaho @ Montana 60–69 regular
2020-02-06 2020 Montana @ Eastern Washington 77–56 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Montana State @ Montana 66–61 regular
2020-01-31 2020 Portland State @ Montana 55–62 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Weber State @ Montana 57–85 regular
2020-01-24 2020 Idaho State @ Montana 67–53 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Montana @ Idaho 51–52 regular
2020-01-14 2020 Montana @ Portland State 65–78 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Eastern Washington @ Montana 54–92 regular
2020-01-04 2020 Northern Colorado @ Montana 67–58 regular
2020-01-03 2020 Southern Utah @ Montana 74–81 regular
2019-12-31 2020 Montana @ Sacramento State 64–60 regular
2019-12-28 2020 Montana @ Northern Arizona 79–71 regular
2019-12-21 2020 Montana State-Billings @ Montana 53–70 non_d1
2019-12-15 2020 Montana @ South Dakota 64–96 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Montana @ Utah Valley 63–52 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Montana @ Cal State Fullerton 71–69 regular
2019-11-29 2020 Santa Clara @ Montana N 68–58 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Arizona @ Montana 77–42 regular
2019-11-20 2020 Grand Canyon @ Montana 67–72 regular
2019-11-16 2020 Fresno State @ Montana 76–63 regular
2019-11-05 2020 Montana State-Northern @ Montana 45–98 non_d1