cbb·system

Houston Cougars

mens American canonical name from espn_mbb #1 Sweet 16 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.20 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.15
ME 0.32 points per possession 0.20
PACE 62.57 possessions per game 4.57

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 37 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Houston AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.41 to 1.19 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023334 0.892

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdHouston auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-24 2023 Miami @ Houston N 89–75 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-18 2023 Auburn @ Houston N 64–81 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-17 2023 Northern Kentucky @ Houston N 52–63 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-12 2023 Memphis @ Houston N 75–65 conf_tournament
2023-03-11 2023 Cincinnati @ Houston N 48–69 conf_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 East Carolina @ Houston N 46–60 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 Houston @ Memphis 67–65 regular
2023-03-03 2023 Wichita State @ Houston 66–83 regular
2023-02-26 2023 Houston @ East Carolina 76–57 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Tulane @ Houston 59–89 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Memphis @ Houston 64–72 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Houston @ SMU 80–65 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Tulsa @ Houston 42–80 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Houston @ Temple 81–65 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Houston @ Wichita State 70–61 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Cincinnati @ Houston 69–75 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Houston @ UCF 82–71 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Temple @ Houston 56–55 regular
2023-01-18 2023 Houston @ Tulane 80–60 regular
2023-01-12 2023 South Florida @ Houston 77–83 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Houston @ Cincinnati 72–59 regular
2023-01-06 2023 SMU @ Houston 53–87 regular
2022-12-31 2023 UCF @ Houston 65–71 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Houston @ Tulsa 89–50 regular
2022-12-22 2023 McNeese @ Houston 44–83 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Houston @ Virginia 69–61 regular
2022-12-14 2023 North Carolina A&T @ Houston 46–74 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Alabama @ Houston 71–65 regular
2022-12-07 2023 North Florida @ Houston 42–76 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Saint Mary's @ Houston N 48–53 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Norfolk State @ Houston 52–100 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Kent State @ Houston 44–49 regular
2022-11-21 2023 Houston @ Oregon 66–56 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Texas Southern @ Houston 48–83 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Oral Roberts @ Houston 45–83 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Houston @ Saint Joseph's N 81–55 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Northern Colorado @ Houston 36–83 regular