Toledo Rockets
mens
MAC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2023
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.21 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 1.12 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| ME | 0.10 | points per possession | 0.17 |
| PACE | 68.62 | possessions per game | 4.25 |
At season 2023's latest cutoff
(2023-04-04 01:20),
with 34 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023.
Axis spans 0.80 to 1.38 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2023
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 27 | 8 | 0.771 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Toledo | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-14 | 2023 | Toledo @ Michigan | 80–90 | nit |
| 2023-03-12 | 2023 | Kent State @ Toledo N | 93–78 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-10 | 2023 | Ohio @ Toledo N | 75–82 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-09 | 2023 | Miami (OH) @ Toledo N | 75–91 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-03-03 | 2023 | Toledo @ Ball State | 87–81 | regular |
| 2023-03-01 | 2023 | Toledo @ Central Michigan | 99–65 | regular |
| 2023-02-25 | 2023 | Buffalo @ Toledo | 71–101 | regular |
| 2023-02-22 | 2023 | Akron @ Toledo | 63–84 | regular |
| 2023-02-18 | 2023 | Toledo @ Bowling Green | 91–86 | regular |
| 2023-02-15 | 2023 | Miami (OH) @ Toledo | 71–89 | regular |
| 2023-02-12 | 2023 | Toledo @ Eastern Michigan | 70–63 | regular |
| 2023-02-08 | 2023 | Toledo @ Akron | 84–74 | regular |
| 2023-02-05 | 2023 | Central Michigan @ Toledo | 59–84 | regular |
| 2023-02-01 | 2023 | Toledo @ Miami (OH) | 81–78 | regular |
| 2023-01-28 | 2023 | Bowling Green @ Toledo | 77–91 | regular |
| 2023-01-25 | 2023 | Eastern Michigan @ Toledo | 79–84 | regular |
| 2023-01-21 | 2023 | Toledo @ Buffalo | 86–77 | regular |
| 2023-01-18 | 2023 | Ohio @ Toledo | 75–90 | regular |
| 2023-01-14 | 2023 | Toledo @ Northern Illinois | 84–67 | regular |
| 2023-01-11 | 2023 | Toledo @ Kent State | 63–75 | regular |
| 2023-01-06 | 2023 | Western Michigan @ Toledo | 74–102 | regular |
| 2023-01-04 | 2023 | Ball State @ Toledo | 90–83 | regular |
| 2022-12-29 | 2023 | Lourdes University @ Toledo | 88–103 | non_d1 |
| 2022-12-20 | 2023 | Toledo @ Vermont | 84–72 | regular |
| 2022-12-17 | 2023 | Toledo @ Marshall | 85–100 | regular |
| 2022-12-10 | 2023 | Canisius @ Toledo | 68–69 | regular |
| 2022-12-07 | 2023 | Toledo @ Northern Iowa | 83–75 | regular |
| 2022-12-03 | 2023 | Toledo @ George Mason | 73–80 | regular |
| 2022-12-01 | 2023 | Richmond @ Toledo | 67–90 | regular |
| 2022-11-23 | 2023 | Northern Kentucky @ Toledo N | 69–82 | regular |
| 2022-11-22 | 2023 | East Carolina @ Toledo N | 86–75 | regular |
| 2022-11-21 | 2023 | Kansas City @ Toledo N | 83–71 | regular |
| 2022-11-17 | 2023 | Oakland @ Toledo | 90–112 | regular |
| 2022-11-11 | 2023 | UAB @ Toledo N | 85–93 | regular |
| 2022-11-08 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ Toledo | 70–85 | regular |