Toledo Rockets
mens
MAC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.12 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.19 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| ME | -0.07 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 67.55 | possessions per game | 4.35 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-08 00:50),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 0.82 to 1.40 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | 15 | 0.545 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Toledo | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-14 | 2025 | Toledo @ Akron N | 90–100 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-13 | 2025 | Ohio @ Toledo N | 85–90 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-08 | 2025 | Ohio @ Toledo | 82–96 | regular |
| 2025-03-05 | 2025 | Akron @ Toledo | 96–87 | regular |
| 2025-03-01 | 2025 | Toledo @ Buffalo | 74–87 | regular |
| 2025-02-26 | 2025 | Toledo @ Kent State | 65–105 | regular |
| 2025-02-21 | 2025 | Bowling Green @ Toledo | 69–68 | regular |
| 2025-02-19 | 2025 | Ball State @ Toledo | 66–67 | regular |
| 2025-02-15 | 2025 | Toledo @ Eastern Michigan | 73–80 | regular |
| 2025-02-12 | 2025 | Toledo @ Miami (OH) | 80–92 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | James Madison @ Toledo | 69–72 | regular |
| 2025-02-05 | 2025 | Buffalo @ Toledo | 74–87 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | Northern Illinois @ Toledo | 85–89 | regular |
| 2025-01-29 | 2025 | Toledo @ Ohio | 86–83 | regular |
| 2025-01-24 | 2025 | Toledo @ Bowling Green | 84–71 | regular |
| 2025-01-22 | 2025 | Kent State @ Toledo | 83–64 | regular |
| 2025-01-18 | 2025 | Toledo @ Ball State | 93–75 | regular |
| 2025-01-15 | 2025 | Toledo @ Akron | 78–85 | regular |
| 2025-01-11 | 2025 | Central Michigan @ Toledo | 67–69 | regular |
| 2025-01-08 | 2025 | Eastern Michigan @ Toledo | 87–90 | regular |
| 2025-01-04 | 2025 | Toledo @ Western Michigan | 76–70 | regular |
| 2024-12-29 | 2025 | Toledo @ Purdue | 64–83 | regular |
| 2024-12-19 | 2025 | Toledo @ Houston | 49–78 | regular |
| 2024-12-14 | 2025 | Toledo @ Youngstown State | 87–93 | regular |
| 2024-12-07 | 2025 | Defiance @ Toledo | 49–111 | non_d1 |
| 2024-12-01 | 2025 | Oakland @ Toledo | 85–52 | regular |
| 2024-11-23 | 2025 | Toledo @ UC San Diego N | 45–80 | regular |
| 2024-11-22 | 2025 | Toledo @ Jacksonville State N | 82–80 | regular |
| 2024-11-21 | 2025 | Toledo @ Stetson N | 103–78 | regular |
| 2024-11-16 | 2025 | Toledo @ Detroit Mercy | 82–67 | regular |
| 2024-11-14 | 2025 | Wright State @ Toledo | 77–86 | regular |
| 2024-11-09 | 2025 | Toledo @ Marshall | 90–80 | regular |
| 2024-11-05 | 2025 | Toledo @ Troy | 74–84 | regular |