Toledo Rockets
mens
MAC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2024
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.15 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 1.10 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| ME | 0.04 | points per possession | 0.17 |
| PACE | 69.11 | possessions per game | 4.41 |
At season 2024's latest cutoff
(2024-04-09 01:20),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024.
Axis spans 56.27 to 79.57 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2024
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | 12 | 0.625 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Toledo | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-14 | 2024 | Kent State @ Toledo N | 67–59 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-09 | 2024 | Kent State @ Toledo | 71–86 | regular |
| 2024-03-06 | 2024 | Toledo @ Miami (OH) | 97–63 | regular |
| 2024-03-02 | 2024 | Toledo @ Buffalo | 85–79 | regular |
| 2024-02-28 | 2024 | Northern Illinois @ Toledo | 75–72 | regular |
| 2024-02-24 | 2024 | Toledo @ Bowling Green | 68–76 | regular |
| 2024-02-21 | 2024 | Akron @ Toledo | 64–72 | regular |
| 2024-02-17 | 2024 | Ohio @ Toledo | 83–85 | regular |
| 2024-02-10 | 2024 | Toledo @ App State | 104–109 | regular |
| 2024-02-07 | 2024 | Toledo @ Eastern Michigan | 91–87 | regular |
| 2024-02-03 | 2024 | Toledo @ Akron | 70–77 | regular |
| 2024-01-31 | 2024 | Western Michigan @ Toledo | 63–88 | regular |
| 2024-01-27 | 2024 | Bowling Green @ Toledo | 72–88 | regular |
| 2024-01-24 | 2024 | Toledo @ Northern Illinois | 89–73 | regular |
| 2024-01-20 | 2024 | Toledo @ Central Michigan | 62–65 | regular |
| 2024-01-17 | 2024 | Buffalo @ Toledo | 66–77 | regular |
| 2024-01-14 | 2024 | Ball State @ Toledo | 72–77 | regular |
| 2024-01-10 | 2024 | Toledo @ Kent State | 89–75 | regular |
| 2024-01-06 | 2024 | Miami (OH) @ Toledo | 64–68 | regular |
| 2024-01-03 | 2024 | Toledo @ Ohio | 86–77 | regular |
| 2023-12-23 | 2024 | Toledo @ West Virginia | 81–91 | regular |
| 2023-12-21 | 2024 | Vermont @ Toledo | 86–60 | regular |
| 2023-12-14 | 2024 | Marshall @ Toledo | 87–88 | regular |
| 2023-12-09 | 2024 | Northern Iowa @ Toledo | 80–84 | regular |
| 2023-12-07 | 2024 | Toledo @ Oakland | 69–68 | regular |
| 2023-12-03 | 2024 | George Mason @ Toledo | 86–77 | regular |
| 2023-11-24 | 2024 | Indiana State @ Toledo N | 76–74 | regular |
| 2023-11-23 | 2024 | Toledo @ UC Irvine N | 71–77 | regular |
| 2023-11-22 | 2024 | New Mexico @ Toledo N | 92–84 | regular |
| 2023-11-15 | 2024 | Toledo @ Wright State | 78–77 | regular |
| 2023-11-12 | 2024 | Louisiana @ Toledo | 78–87 | regular |
| 2023-11-07 | 2024 | Detroit Mercy @ Toledo | 60–94 | regular |