cbb·system

East Carolina Pirates

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.91 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.73 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.18 points per possession 0.18
PACE 71.53 possessions per game 4.43

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

East Carolina AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.60 to 1.19 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20152211 0.667

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbEast Carolina auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-22 2015 NC State @ East Carolina 69–65 other_postseason
2015-03-18 2015 Radford @ East Carolina 52–74 other_postseason
2015-03-08 2015 East Carolina @ UConn N 56–106 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 East Carolina @ Temple N 77–71 conf_tournament
2015-03-03 2015 UCF @ East Carolina 57–67 regular
2015-02-28 2015 East Carolina @ Temple 69–79 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Cincinnati @ East Carolina 40–53 regular
2015-02-19 2015 SMU @ East Carolina 53–67 regular
2015-02-15 2015 South Florida @ East Carolina 64–65 regular
2015-02-11 2015 East Carolina @ Cincinnati 78–53 regular
2015-02-04 2015 Houston @ East Carolina 56–79 regular
2015-01-31 2015 East Carolina @ Tulane 67–63 regular
2015-01-29 2015 East Carolina @ UConn 32–87 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Tulsa @ East Carolina 74–63 regular
2015-01-22 2015 East Carolina @ SMU 67–49 regular
2015-01-18 2015 Memphis @ East Carolina 39–60 regular
2015-01-15 2015 East Carolina @ Tulsa 77–68 regular
2015-01-10 2015 East Carolina @ Houston 87–46 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Tulane @ East Carolina 76–63 regular
2015-01-04 2015 East Carolina @ Memphis 57–60 regular
2014-12-31 2015 UConn @ East Carolina 89–38 regular
2014-12-28 2015 East Carolina @ South Florida 62–69 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Norfolk State @ East Carolina 36–65 regular
2014-12-10 2015 East Carolina @ Loyola Maryland 82–33 regular
2014-12-07 2015 East Carolina @ Ohio 76–68 regular
2014-12-05 2015 East Carolina @ Cleveland State 57–59 regular
2014-11-28 2015 East Carolina @ Wisconsin N 61–43 regular
2014-11-27 2015 East Carolina @ Syracuse N 58–69 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Bethune-Cookman @ East Carolina 42–71 regular
2014-11-21 2015 Delaware @ East Carolina 60–89 regular
2014-11-20 2015 Charleston @ East Carolina 55–68 regular
2014-11-15 2015 East Carolina @ Rhode Island 66–38 regular
2014-11-14 2015 East Carolina @ Fairfield N 83–68 regular