cbb·system

Troy Trojans

mens Sun Belt canonical name from espn_mbb #13 Round of 64 (out) 2026

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.11 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.11 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.00 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.82 possessions per game 4.56

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-07 00:50), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Troy AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 0.80 to 1.38 over 131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
20262212 0.647

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdTroy auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-19 2026 Troy @ Nebraska N 47–76 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-09 2026 Georgia Southern @ Troy N 61–77 conf_tournament
2026-03-08 2026 Southern Miss @ Troy N 70–78 conf_tournament
2026-02-28 2026 UL Monroe @ Troy 65–80 regular
2026-02-25 2026 Louisiana @ Troy 59–78 regular
2026-02-21 2026 Troy @ South Alabama 54–65 regular
2026-02-19 2026 Troy @ UL Monroe 77–76 regular
2026-02-15 2026 Troy @ Southern Miss 65–69 regular
2026-02-12 2026 Troy @ Texas State 62–74 regular
2026-02-07 2026 Akron @ Troy 69–79 regular
2026-02-05 2026 Troy @ Georgia State 74–63 regular
2026-01-31 2026 App State @ Troy 66–44 regular
2026-01-30 2026 James Madison @ Troy 73–64 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Troy @ Georgia Southern 83–78 regular
2026-01-22 2026 Troy @ Old Dominion 83–77 regular
2026-01-17 2026 Arkansas State @ Troy 74–99 regular
2026-01-15 2026 Southern Miss @ Troy 65–91 regular
2026-01-10 2026 Troy @ Louisiana 90–70 regular
2026-01-08 2026 Troy @ Arkansas State 74–86 regular
2026-01-03 2026 South Alabama @ Troy 49–59 regular
2025-12-31 2026 Texas State @ Troy 80–100 regular
2025-12-20 2026 Marshall @ Troy 63–70 regular
2025-12-14 2026 Troy @ UAB 86–85 regular
2025-12-06 2026 LaGrange @ Troy 47–101 non_d1
2025-12-02 2026 West Georgia @ Troy 93–89 regular
2025-11-26 2026 St. Francis (PA) @ Troy N 64–74 regular
2025-11-24 2026 Toledo @ Troy N 75–68 regular
2025-11-21 2026 Troy @ USC 106–107 regular
2025-11-19 2026 Troy @ San Diego State 108–107 regular
2025-11-17 2026 Troy @ Cal State Northridge 85–94 regular
2025-11-15 2026 Troy @ Loyola Marymount 63–74 regular
2025-11-12 2026 Pensacola Christian College @ Troy 56–121 non_d1
2025-11-08 2026 Troy @ Furman 64–61 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Troy @ Kent State 103–97 regular