cbb·system

Troy Trojans

mens Sun Belt canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.03 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.68 possessions per game 4.29

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Troy AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.73 to 1.38 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232013 0.606

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdTroy auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-04 2023 Troy @ James Madison N 72–75 conf_tournament
2023-03-02 2023 Arkansas State @ Troy N 59–63 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 Coastal Carolina @ Troy 74–95 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Troy @ UL Monroe 82–78 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Troy @ Marshall 78–88 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Troy @ Arkansas State 67–62 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Louisiana @ Troy 65–80 regular
2023-02-10 2023 South Alabama @ Troy 57–61 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Texas State @ Troy 64–68 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Southern Miss @ Troy 74–65 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Troy @ South Alabama 60–77 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Troy @ Louisiana 57–72 regular
2023-01-21 2023 UL Monroe @ Troy 53–77 regular
2023-01-20 2023 James Madison @ Troy 89–87 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Troy @ App State 45–58 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Troy @ Georgia State 65–53 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Arkansas State @ Troy 54–66 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Old Dominion @ Troy 71–78 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Troy @ Texas State 55–52 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Troy @ Southern Miss 60–64 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Mercer @ Troy 82–79 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Troy @ SE Louisiana 77–71 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Tennessee Tech @ Troy 64–87 regular
2022-12-06 2023 Troy @ San Diego State 55–60 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Troy @ SIU Edwardsville 72–78 regular
2022-11-29 2023 Troy @ Arkansas 61–74 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Southern-New Orleans @ Troy 61–118 non_d1
2022-11-20 2023 Troy @ Montana 73–62 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Troy @ St. Thomas-Minnesota N 76–78 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Merrimack @ Troy N 54–73 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Troy @ Florida State 79–72 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Mississippi University For Women @ Troy 42–96 non_d1
2022-11-08 2023 Montevallo @ Troy 67–87 non_d1