Illinois State Redbirds
mens
MVC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2022
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.06 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.08 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.02 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 68.35 | possessions per game | 4.42 |
At season 2022's latest cutoff
(2022-04-05 01:20),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022.
Axis spans 0.80 to 1.35 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2022
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 13 | 20 | 0.394 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Illinois State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-04 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa N | 65–78 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-03-04 | 2022 | Indiana State @ Illinois State N | 53–58 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-02-26 | 2022 | Indiana State @ Illinois State | 66–86 | regular |
| 2022-02-24 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Southern Illinois | 69–90 | regular |
| 2022-02-22 | 2022 | Loyola Chicago @ Illinois State | 59–50 | regular |
| 2022-02-19 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Bradley | 64–72 | regular |
| 2022-02-16 | 2022 | Northern Iowa @ Illinois State | 72–70 | regular |
| 2022-02-12 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Indiana State | 57–60 | regular |
| 2022-02-10 | 2022 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 75–78 | regular |
| 2022-02-06 | 2022 | Southern Illinois @ Illinois State | 75–69 | regular |
| 2022-02-03 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Loyola Chicago | 64–78 | regular |
| 2022-01-29 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa | 64–79 | regular |
| 2022-01-27 | 2022 | Drake @ Illinois State | 89–88 | regular |
| 2022-01-23 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Evansville | 53–56 | regular |
| 2022-01-22 | 2022 | Evansville @ Illinois State | 56–94 | regular |
| 2022-01-20 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Missouri State | 63–88 | regular |
| 2022-01-17 | 2022 | Bradley @ Illinois State | 65–74 | regular |
| 2022-01-13 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Drake | 75–86 | regular |
| 2022-01-09 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Evansville | scheduled | regular |
| 2022-01-06 | 2022 | Loyola Chicago @ Illinois State | scheduled | regular |
| 2022-01-02 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Valparaiso | 76–81 | regular |
| 2021-12-30 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Wisconsin | 85–89 | regular |
| 2021-12-21 | 2022 | UTSA @ Illinois State | 64–81 | regular |
| 2021-12-18 | 2022 | Ball State @ Illinois State | 64–85 | regular |
| 2021-12-15 | 2022 | Quincy @ Illinois State | 63–81 | non_d1 |
| 2021-12-11 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Chicago State | 81–71 | regular |
| 2021-12-04 | 2022 | Jackson State @ Illinois State | 61–55 | regular |
| 2021-12-02 | 2022 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 74–79 | regular |
| 2021-11-28 | 2022 | Purdue Northwest @ Illinois State | 71–81 | non_d1 |
| 2021-11-24 | 2022 | Buffalo @ Illinois State N | 106–90 | regular |
| 2021-11-24 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Saint Louis N | 76–82 | regular |
| 2021-11-21 | 2022 | Bucknell @ Illinois State | 100–105 | regular |
| 2021-11-17 | 2022 | Murray State @ Illinois State | 77–65 | regular |
| 2021-11-12 | 2022 | Illinois State @ Eastern Michigan | 98–103 | regular |
| 2021-11-10 | 2022 | UNC Wilmington @ Illinois State | 63–68 | regular |