Illinois State Redbirds
mens
MVC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2023
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.99 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.10 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.11 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 65.37 | possessions per game | 4.43 |
At season 2023's latest cutoff
(2023-04-04 01:20),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023.
Axis spans 0.81 to 1.37 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2023
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11 | 21 | 0.344 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Illinois State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-02 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa N | 62–75 | conf_tournament |
| 2023-02-26 | 2023 | Evansville @ Illinois State | 53–72 | regular |
| 2023-02-23 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Drake | 51–82 | regular |
| 2023-02-18 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Indiana State | 64–80 | regular |
| 2023-02-16 | 2023 | Murray State @ Illinois State | 76–75 | regular |
| 2023-02-12 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Valparaiso | 76–81 | regular |
| 2023-02-09 | 2023 | Bradley @ Illinois State | 79–61 | regular |
| 2023-02-04 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Belmont | 75–90 | regular |
| 2023-02-02 | 2023 | UIC @ Illinois State | 62–68 | regular |
| 2023-01-29 | 2023 | Southern Illinois @ Illinois State | 66–72 | regular |
| 2023-01-26 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Bradley | 75–79 | regular |
| 2023-01-22 | 2023 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 71–51 | regular |
| 2023-01-19 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa | 63–65 | regular |
| 2023-01-15 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Southern Illinois | 57–69 | regular |
| 2023-01-12 | 2023 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 66–76 | regular |
| 2023-01-07 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Evansville | 69–61 | regular |
| 2023-01-05 | 2023 | Indiana State @ Illinois State | 76–67 | regular |
| 2022-12-31 | 2023 | Northern Iowa @ Illinois State | 66–60 | regular |
| 2022-12-29 | 2023 | Illinois State @ UIC | 51–55 | regular |
| 2022-12-20 | 2023 | Chicago State @ Illinois State | 52–66 | regular |
| 2022-12-17 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Ball State N | 69–83 | regular |
| 2022-12-10 | 2023 | SIU Edwardsville @ Illinois State | 71–77 | regular |
| 2022-12-08 | 2023 | Eastern Michigan @ Illinois State | 81–87 | regular |
| 2022-12-04 | 2023 | Belmont @ Illinois State | 77–87 | regular |
| 2022-12-02 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Murray State | 67–70 | regular |
| 2022-11-23 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Rhode Island N | 44–57 | regular |
| 2022-11-22 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Western Kentucky N | 66–78 | regular |
| 2022-11-21 | 2023 | Illinois State @ LSU N | 61–77 | regular |
| 2022-11-18 | 2023 | Northwestern State @ Illinois State | 70–67 | regular |
| 2022-11-13 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Northwestern State | 69–67 | regular |
| 2022-11-11 | 2023 | Illinois State @ Eastern Illinois | 54–49 | regular |
| 2022-11-08 | 2023 | Western Illinois @ Illinois State | 71–68 | regular |