Illinois State Redbirds
mens
MVC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2024
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.03 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.05 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.02 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 63.48 | possessions per game | 4.71 |
At season 2024's latest cutoff
(2024-04-09 01:20),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024.
Axis spans 52.88 to 75.89 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2024
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15 | 17 | 0.469 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Illinois State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-08 | 2024 | Evansville @ Illinois State N | 59–53 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-03 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Valparaiso | 72–75 | regular |
| 2024-02-29 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 74–75 | regular |
| 2024-02-25 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Bradley | 45–48 | regular |
| 2024-02-22 | 2024 | Northern Iowa @ Illinois State | 73–81 | regular |
| 2024-02-18 | 2024 | Evansville @ Illinois State | 79–86 | regular |
| 2024-02-14 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Indiana State | 80–67 | regular |
| 2024-02-11 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Southern Illinois | 66–69 | regular |
| 2024-02-08 | 2024 | UIC @ Illinois State | 61–56 | regular |
| 2024-02-03 | 2024 | Bradley @ Illinois State | 73–60 | regular |
| 2024-01-31 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Murray State | 61–59 | regular |
| 2024-01-27 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Evansville | 54–58 | regular |
| 2024-01-24 | 2024 | Belmont @ Illinois State | 67–77 | regular |
| 2024-01-20 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Missouri State | 69–60 | regular |
| 2024-01-18 | 2024 | Drake @ Illinois State | 77–56 | regular |
| 2024-01-14 | 2024 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 59–50 | regular |
| 2024-01-11 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Belmont | 60–67 | regular |
| 2024-01-07 | 2024 | Southern Illinois @ Illinois State | 71–64 | regular |
| 2024-01-03 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Drake | 71–88 | regular |
| 2023-12-30 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Kentucky | 70–96 | regular |
| 2023-12-22 | 2024 | Southeast Missouri State @ Illinois State | 64–85 | regular |
| 2023-12-17 | 2024 | North Dakota State @ Illinois State | 65–75 | regular |
| 2023-12-10 | 2024 | Norfolk State @ Illinois State | 64–58 | regular |
| 2023-12-07 | 2024 | Northern Kentucky @ Illinois State | 59–62 | regular |
| 2023-12-03 | 2024 | Murray State @ Illinois State | 72–76 | regular |
| 2023-12-01 | 2024 | Illinois State @ UIC | 69–64 | regular |
| 2023-11-22 | 2024 | Wright State @ Illinois State N | 74–49 | regular |
| 2023-11-21 | 2024 | Illinois State @ High Point N | 72–74 | regular |
| 2023-11-20 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Long Beach State N | 61–52 | regular |
| 2023-11-16 | 2024 | Eastern Illinois @ Illinois State | 61–69 | regular |
| 2023-11-12 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Saint Louis | 71–80 | regular |
| 2023-11-07 | 2024 | Lourdes University @ Illinois State | 56–75 | non_d1 |