Illinois State Redbirds
mens
MVC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.16 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.11 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.05 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 65.49 | possessions per game | 4.46 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-08 00:50),
with 35 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 54.94 to 75.78 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | 14 | 0.611 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Illinois State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-26 | 2025 | Illinois State @ Cleveland State N | 79–68 | other_postseason |
| 2025-03-25 | 2025 | Illinois State @ Incarnate Word N | 78–73 | other_postseason |
| 2025-03-23 | 2025 | Illinois State @ Presbyterian N | 78–70 | other_postseason |
| 2025-03-07 | 2025 | Illinois State @ Belmont N | 63–76 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-06 | 2025 | Missouri State @ Illinois State N | 54–70 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-02 | 2025 | Evansville @ Illinois State | 53–62 | regular |
| 2025-02-26 | 2025 | Illinois State @ Southern Illinois | 79–88 | regular |
| 2025-02-23 | 2025 | Illinois State @ Missouri State | 70–68 | regular |
| 2025-02-20 | 2025 | Bradley @ Illinois State | 71–82 | regular |
| 2025-02-15 | 2025 | Illinois State @ Indiana State | 76–85 | regular |
| 2025-02-13 | 2025 | Drake @ Illinois State | 84–77 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa | 65–68 | regular |
| 2025-02-06 | 2025 | Illinois State @ UIC | 81–79 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 78–86 | regular |
| 2025-01-30 | 2025 | Belmont @ Illinois State | 78–81 | regular |
| 2025-01-25 | 2025 | Illinois State @ Bradley | 57–61 | regular |
| 2025-01-22 | 2025 | Indiana State @ Illinois State | 81–85 | regular |
| 2025-01-18 | 2025 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 68–74 | regular |
| 2025-01-16 | 2025 | Illinois State @ Drake | 62–66 | regular |
| 2025-01-12 | 2025 | Northern Iowa @ Illinois State | 85–84 | regular |
| 2025-01-09 | 2025 | Illinois State @ Evansville | 51–69 | regular |
| 2025-01-05 | 2025 | Southern Illinois @ Illinois State | 54–85 | regular |
| 2025-01-03 | 2025 | Illinois State @ Murray State | 74–68 | regular |
| 2024-12-29 | 2025 | UIC @ Illinois State | 73–67 | regular |
| 2024-12-22 | 2025 | Illinois State @ Cornell | 80–77 | regular |
| 2024-12-19 | 2025 | Northern Illinois @ Illinois State | 60–81 | regular |
| 2024-12-15 | 2025 | Saint Louis @ Illinois State | 77–81 | regular |
| 2024-12-08 | 2025 | Pacific @ Illinois State | 61–72 | regular |
| 2024-12-05 | 2025 | Illinois State @ Belmont | 97–99 | regular |
| 2024-11-25 | 2025 | Illinois State @ George Washington N | 64–72 | regular |
| 2024-11-23 | 2025 | UAB @ Illinois State N | 83–84 | regular |
| 2024-11-22 | 2025 | Illinois State @ McNeese N | 68–76 | regular |
| 2024-11-17 | 2025 | Trinity Christian (IL) @ Illinois State | 52–107 | non_d1 |
| 2024-11-13 | 2025 | Ohio @ Illinois State | 75–85 | regular |
| 2024-11-08 | 2025 | Illinois State @ North Dakota State | 77–68 | regular |
| 2024-11-05 | 2025 | UT Martin @ Illinois State | 67–65 | regular |