cbb·system

App State Mountaineers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.84 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.17 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.36 possessions per game 4.97

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

App State AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.70 to 1.26 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
2018823 0.258

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbApp State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-08 2018 App State @ Little Rock N 34–66 conf_tournament
2018-03-06 2018 App State @ Arkansas State N 79–68 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Coastal Carolina @ App State 66–51 regular
2018-02-24 2018 App State @ Little Rock 35–61 regular
2018-02-22 2018 App State @ Arkansas State 52–69 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Troy @ App State 93–64 regular
2018-02-15 2018 South Alabama @ App State 56–57 regular
2018-02-10 2018 App State @ Coastal Carolina 68–73 regular
2018-02-03 2018 App State @ Texas State 50–92 regular
2018-02-01 2018 App State @ UT Arlington 48–49 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Arkansas State @ App State 66–68 regular
2018-01-25 2018 Little Rock @ App State 52–40 regular
2018-01-22 2018 App State @ Troy 74–81 regular
2018-01-20 2018 App State @ South Alabama 52–54 regular
2018-01-18 2018 App State @ Troy postponed regular
2018-01-13 2018 Georgia Southern @ App State 56–87 regular
2018-01-11 2018 Georgia State @ App State 62–77 regular
2018-01-06 2018 App State @ UL Monroe 71–67 regular
2018-01-04 2018 App State @ Louisiana 45–61 regular
2017-12-31 2018 UT Arlington @ App State 64–60 regular
2017-12-29 2018 Texas State @ App State 69–54 regular
2017-12-22 2018 App State @ UNC Asheville 60–69 regular
2017-12-16 2018 App State @ Marshall 56–54 regular
2017-12-08 2018 App State @ Wake Forest 49–78 regular
2017-12-03 2018 App State @ North Carolina 43–56 regular
2017-12-01 2018 UAB @ App State 70–59 regular
2017-11-26 2018 App State @ Charleston 76–70 regular
2017-11-21 2018 App State @ North Carolina A&T 56–81 regular
2017-11-19 2018 Davidson @ App State 59–57 regular
2017-11-15 2018 East Tennessee State @ App State 70–57 regular
2017-11-12 2018 App State @ Radford 40–61 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Georgia Tech @ App State 75–41 regular