cbb·system

App State Mountaineers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.86 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.11 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.27 possessions per game 4.59

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

App State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.55 to 1.15 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201119 0.367

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbApp State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-10 2020 App State @ Little Rock N 47–48 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 App State @ Coastal Carolina 83–80 regular
2020-02-29 2020 UL Monroe @ App State 49–68 regular
2020-02-27 2020 Louisiana @ App State 57–51 regular
2020-02-22 2020 App State @ Georgia Southern 70–78 regular
2020-02-20 2020 App State @ Georgia State 64–59 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Troy @ App State 81–61 regular
2020-02-13 2020 South Alabama @ App State 59–71 regular
2020-02-08 2020 App State @ Texas State 59–47 regular
2020-02-07 2020 App State @ UT Arlington 44–63 regular
2020-02-01 2020 Georgia Southern @ App State 75–83 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Georgia State @ App State 37–65 regular
2020-01-25 2020 App State @ Little Rock 63–68 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Coastal Carolina @ App State 80–53 regular
2020-01-17 2020 App State @ Arkansas State 58–76 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Texas State @ App State 65–73 regular
2020-01-09 2020 UT Arlington @ App State 82–60 regular
2020-01-04 2020 App State @ Troy 55–84 regular
2020-01-03 2020 App State @ South Alabama 66–81 regular
2019-12-29 2020 App State @ UNC Greensboro 47–54 regular
2019-12-20 2020 App State @ Canisius N 74–57 regular
2019-12-19 2020 App State @ Bethune-Cookman N 44–61 regular
2019-12-14 2020 App State @ Michigan 35–62 regular
2019-12-05 2020 App State @ Wofford 54–51 regular
2019-11-29 2020 Mercer @ App State 68–77 regular
2019-11-25 2020 East Tennessee State @ App State 67–61 regular
2019-11-22 2020 Gardner-Webb @ App State 67–56 regular
2019-11-17 2020 App State @ South Carolina 50–92 regular
2019-11-14 2020 App State @ Elon 66–67 regular
2019-11-05 2020 App State @ VCU 38–66 regular