cbb·system

App State Mountaineers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.06 points per possession 0.18
PACE 74.19 possessions per game 4.10

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-04 00:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

App State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans 0.58 to 1.16 over 124 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221412 0.538

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbApp State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-04 2022 Little Rock @ App State N 70–58 conf_tournament
2022-02-26 2022 South Alabama @ App State 50–72 regular
2022-02-24 2022 Troy @ App State 89–56 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Texas State @ App State 55–73 regular
2022-02-12 2022 App State @ Georgia State 84–78 regular
2022-02-10 2022 App State @ Georgia Southern 80–82 regular
2022-02-06 2022 App State @ UT Arlington 79–88 regular
2022-01-29 2022 App State @ Coastal Carolina 70–68 regular
2022-01-26 2022 Coastal Carolina @ App State 61–66 regular
2022-01-22 2022 UL Monroe @ App State 61–67 regular
2022-01-20 2022 Louisiana @ App State 46–55 regular
2022-01-15 2022 App State @ Little Rock 60–49 regular
2022-01-14 2022 App State @ Arkansas State 92–98 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Georgia Southern @ App State canceled regular
2022-01-06 2022 Georgia State @ App State canceled regular
2022-01-01 2022 App State @ Troy canceled regular
2021-12-31 2022 App State @ South Alabama canceled regular
2021-12-21 2022 Eastern Kentucky @ App State 89–84 regular
2021-12-18 2022 Old Dominion @ App State 85–49 regular
2021-12-15 2022 App State @ Davidson 48–66 regular
2021-12-12 2022 Wofford @ App State 78–65 regular
2021-12-05 2022 App State @ Gardner-Webb 73–63 regular
2021-12-01 2022 East Tennessee State @ App State 53–81 regular
2021-11-28 2022 App State @ UNC Asheville 71–56 regular
2021-11-25 2022 App State @ Duke 65–73 regular
2021-11-22 2022 Winston-Salem State @ App State 49–81 non_d1
2021-11-17 2022 App State @ North Carolina 44–89 regular
2021-11-14 2022 North Carolina Central @ App State 66–80 regular
2021-11-12 2022 App State @ Mercer 57–61 regular
2021-11-09 2022 Lees McRae @ App State 41–75 non_d1