cbb·system

App State Mountaineers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.89 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.09 points per possession 0.18
PACE 69.91 possessions per game 4.50

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

App State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.57 to 1.18 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231120 0.355

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbApp State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-04 2023 App State @ Texas State N 47–56 conf_tournament
2023-03-02 2023 App State @ Louisiana N 51–38 conf_tournament
2023-02-24 2023 UL Monroe @ App State 63–77 regular
2023-02-22 2023 James Madison @ App State 78–62 regular
2023-02-18 2023 App State @ Troy 66–73 regular
2023-02-16 2023 App State @ Old Dominion 65–71 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Georgia Southern @ App State 84–73 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Georgia State @ App State 55–63 regular
2023-02-04 2023 App State @ Coastal Carolina 67–70 regular
2023-02-02 2023 App State @ Marshall 64–72 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Louisiana @ App State 65–51 regular
2023-01-26 2023 App State @ Georgia State 56–64 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Coastal Carolina @ App State 74–81 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Southern Miss @ App State 75–68 regular
2023-01-14 2023 App State @ Georgia Southern 96–88 regular
2023-01-13 2023 App State @ James Madison 64–73 regular
2023-01-07 2023 App State @ Arkansas State 59–58 regular
2023-01-06 2023 App State @ Texas State 59–66 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Marshall @ App State 59–52 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Old Dominion @ App State 55–81 regular
2022-12-20 2023 Gardner-Webb @ App State 81–87 regular
2022-12-17 2023 App State @ Michigan 49–77 regular
2022-12-15 2023 App State @ North Carolina Central 70–72 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Johnson C. Smith @ App State 52–107 non_d1
2022-12-03 2023 App State @ Wofford 42–71 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Davidson @ App State 82–84 regular
2022-11-20 2023 App State @ West Virginia 51–72 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Norfolk State @ App State 70–65 regular
2022-11-14 2023 Lees McRae @ App State 33–67 non_d1
2022-11-12 2023 App State @ Eastern Kentucky 63–95 regular
2022-11-08 2023 App State @ Charlotte 94–98 regular