cbb·system

App State Mountaineers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.05 points per possession 0.19
PACE 71.03 possessions per game 4.73

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

App State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans 40.54 to 83.31 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20192214 0.611

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbApp State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-04-03 2019 North Texas @ App State 59–76 other_postseason
2019-03-30 2019 Campbell @ App State 57–70 other_postseason
2019-03-25 2019 Marshall @ App State 71–83 other_postseason
2019-03-20 2019 App State @ UNC Asheville 57–55 other_postseason
2019-03-15 2019 App State @ Little Rock N 64–80 conf_tournament
2019-03-14 2019 App State @ Georgia State N 47–45 conf_tournament
2019-03-13 2019 Coastal Carolina @ App State N 42–78 conf_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 App State @ South Alabama 59–50 regular
2019-03-08 2019 App State @ Troy 66–95 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Louisiana @ App State 69–83 regular
2019-02-28 2019 UL Monroe @ App State 51–56 regular
2019-02-23 2019 App State @ Georgia Southern 70–52 regular
2019-02-21 2019 App State @ Georgia State 75–85 regular
2019-02-16 2019 App State @ Coastal Carolina 66–74 regular
2019-02-09 2019 UT Arlington @ App State 72–65 regular
2019-02-07 2019 Texas State @ App State 56–77 regular
2019-02-02 2019 App State @ UL Monroe 80–58 regular
2019-02-01 2019 App State @ Louisiana 55–73 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Little Rock @ App State 74–59 regular
2019-01-24 2019 Arkansas State @ App State 67–75 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Coastal Carolina @ App State 53–67 regular
2019-01-12 2019 App State @ Texas State 62–49 regular
2019-01-11 2019 App State @ UT Arlington 94–99 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Troy @ App State 83–72 regular
2019-01-03 2019 South Alabama @ App State 63–71 regular
2018-12-22 2019 App State @ Clemson 48–87 regular
2018-12-17 2019 Wofford @ App State 70–94 regular
2018-12-06 2019 App State @ South Carolina 50–80 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Charleston @ App State 66–80 regular
2018-11-30 2019 App State @ East Tennessee State 64–95 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Marshall @ App State 52–74 regular
2018-11-20 2019 Elon @ App State 62–65 regular
2018-11-18 2019 App State @ Davidson 81–78 regular
2018-11-15 2019 UNC Greensboro @ App State 65–68 regular
2018-11-11 2019 App State @ Georgia Tech 53–71 regular
2018-11-10 2019 App State @ UAB 61–80 regular