cbb·system

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs

mens Big South canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.00 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.50 possessions per game 4.68

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 00:47), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Gardner-Webb AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans 0.75 to 1.42 over 108 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
20211115 0.423

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdGardner-Webb auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-02 2021 Gardner-Webb @ Campbell 57–63 conf_tournament
2021-02-22 2021 Gardner-Webb @ South Carolina Upstate 69–58 regular
2021-02-18 2021 Gardner-Webb @ Radford 77–49 regular
2021-02-17 2021 Gardner-Webb @ Radford 69–57 regular
2021-02-12 2021 Gardner-Webb @ Longwood 71–78 regular
2021-02-11 2021 Gardner-Webb @ Longwood 54–57 regular
2021-02-08 2021 Gardner-Webb @ South Carolina Upstate 69–77 regular
2021-02-06 2021 Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb 64–91 regular
2021-02-05 2021 Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb 53–59 regular
2021-01-30 2021 High Point @ Gardner-Webb 72–69 regular
2021-01-30 2021 High Point @ Gardner-Webb 59–55 regular
2021-01-25 2021 Charleston Southern @ Gardner-Webb 71–80 regular
2021-01-24 2021 Charleston Southern @ Gardner-Webb 62–74 regular
2021-01-21 2021 UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb 57–84 regular
2021-01-20 2021 UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb 79–75 regular
2021-01-15 2021 Gardner-Webb @ Radford scheduled regular
2021-01-15 2021 Gardner-Webb @ Radford scheduled regular
2021-01-10 2021 Gardner-Webb @ Winthrop 83–91 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Gardner-Webb @ Winthrop 65–75 regular
2021-01-05 2021 Campbell @ Gardner-Webb 70–85 regular
2021-01-04 2021 Campbell @ Gardner-Webb 70–61 regular
2020-12-31 2021 Gardner-Webb @ Hampton 80–69 regular
2020-12-30 2021 Gardner-Webb @ Hampton 69–80 regular
2020-12-22 2021 Gardner-Webb @ Florida State 59–72 regular
2020-12-19 2021 Gardner-Webb @ Duke canceled regular
2020-12-18 2021 VMI @ Gardner-Webb 77–88 regular
2020-12-16 2021 Gardner-Webb @ East Tennessee State 60–65 regular
2020-12-12 2021 Gardner-Webb @ Pittsburgh 50–67 regular
2020-12-11 2021 Gardner-Webb @ Western Kentucky 84–86 regular
2020-12-10 2021 Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb scheduled regular
2020-12-05 2021 Campbell @ Gardner-Webb scheduled regular
2020-12-04 2021 Campbell @ Gardner-Webb scheduled regular
2020-11-27 2021 Gardner-Webb @ Florida State scheduled regular
2020-11-26 2021 Gardner-Webb @ Duke scheduled regular