cbb·system

Central Michigan Chippewas

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Final Four (out) 2018

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.20 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.24 points per possession 0.17
PACE 67.36 possessions per game 4.94

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Central Michigan AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.92 to 1.43 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
2018305 0.857

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCentral Michigan auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-24 2018 Central Michigan @ Oregon N 69–83 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-19 2018 Central Michigan @ Ohio State N 95–78 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-17 2018 Central Michigan @ LSU N 78–69 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-10 2018 Buffalo @ Central Michigan N 91–96 conf_tournament
2018-03-09 2018 Miami (OH) @ Central Michigan N 58–61 conf_tournament
2018-03-07 2018 Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan N 64–67 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Central Michigan @ Toledo 72–67 regular
2018-03-01 2018 Ball State @ Central Michigan 80–88 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Central Michigan @ Western Michigan 78–62 regular
2018-02-22 2018 Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan 77–91 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan 82–95 regular
2018-02-15 2018 Central Michigan @ Buffalo 82–85 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Toledo @ Central Michigan 47–85 regular
2018-02-08 2018 Central Michigan @ Ohio 74–72 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan 95–72 regular
2018-02-01 2018 Buffalo @ Central Michigan 79–86 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Western Michigan @ Central Michigan 70–74 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Central Michigan @ Akron 95–86 regular
2018-01-18 2018 Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois 81–78 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Kent State @ Central Michigan 84–88 regular
2018-01-11 2018 Bowling Green @ Central Michigan 54–90 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Central Michigan @ Miami (OH) 84–66 regular
2018-01-04 2018 Ohio @ Central Michigan 58–82 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Central Michigan @ Ball State 69–65 regular
2017-12-22 2018 Quinnipiac @ Central Michigan 84–70 regular
2017-12-17 2018 Central Michigan @ Duquesne 61–64 regular
2017-12-09 2018 Central Michigan @ Indiana State 77–67 regular
2017-12-08 2018 Central Michigan @ SIU Edwardsville 94–56 regular
2017-12-03 2018 Central Michigan @ Oakland 103–85 regular
2017-12-01 2018 Aquinas @ Central Michigan 47–96 non_d1
2017-11-25 2018 Iowa State @ Central Michigan N 60–81 regular
2017-11-24 2018 San Diego State @ Central Michigan N 76–85 regular
2017-11-17 2018 Charleston @ Central Michigan 58–79 regular
2017-11-15 2018 Vanderbilt @ Central Michigan 75–92 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Purdue @ Central Michigan 79–69 regular