cbb·system

Central Michigan Chippewas

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.89 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.05 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.09 possessions per game 4.78

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Central Michigan AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.54 to 1.17 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251417 0.452

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCentral Michigan auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-12 2025 Central Michigan @ Toledo N 58–76 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Akron @ Central Michigan 61–70 regular
2025-03-06 2025 Central Michigan @ Miami (OH) 69–66 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Central Michigan @ Toledo 70–80 regular
2025-02-26 2025 Ball State @ Central Michigan 60–58 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Western Michigan @ Central Michigan 43–56 regular
2025-02-19 2025 Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan 74–62 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Central Michigan @ Bowling Green 55–70 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Central Michigan @ Marshall 73–68 regular
2025-02-05 2025 Ohio @ Central Michigan 48–75 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Bowling Green @ Central Michigan 76–69 regular
2025-01-30 2025 Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois 75–80 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Central Michigan @ Western Michigan 81–70 regular
2025-01-22 2025 Kent State @ Central Michigan 77–56 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan 64–73 regular
2025-01-15 2025 Central Michigan @ Akron 75–55 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Toledo @ Central Michigan 71–66 regular
2025-01-08 2025 Miami (OH) @ Central Michigan 46–47 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Central Michigan @ Ball State 61–72 regular
2025-01-01 2025 Central Michigan @ Buffalo 55–81 regular
2024-12-22 2025 Milwaukee @ Central Michigan 50–54 regular
2024-12-15 2025 Central Michigan @ Dayton 68–72 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Central Michigan @ Iowa State 56–82 regular
2024-12-04 2025 Concordia Ann Arbor @ Central Michigan 57–68 non_d1
2024-12-01 2025 Southern Utah @ Central Michigan N 61–70 regular
2024-12-01 2025 Portland @ Central Michigan N 68–58 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Central Michigan @ Nevada 60–57 regular
2024-11-24 2025 Oakland @ Central Michigan 76–65 regular
2024-11-17 2025 Bradley @ Central Michigan 66–57 regular
2024-11-15 2025 Central Michigan @ Michigan 62–99 regular
2024-11-04 2025 Coastal Carolina @ Central Michigan 65–62 regular