cbb·system

Central Michigan Chippewas

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.94 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.14 points per possession 0.18
PACE 70.18 possessions per game 4.46

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Central Michigan AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 58.60 to 80.25 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151318 0.419

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCentral Michigan auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-11 2015 Central Michigan @ Western Michigan N 68–81 conf_tournament
2015-03-09 2015 Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois 49–44 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Eastern Michigan @ Central Michigan 93–86 regular
2015-03-05 2015 Ball State @ Central Michigan 85–69 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Central Michigan @ Toledo 53–62 regular
2015-02-26 2015 Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois 62–69 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Western Michigan @ Central Michigan 51–63 regular
2015-02-19 2015 Central Michigan @ Ball State 64–73 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan 64–85 regular
2015-02-12 2015 Toledo @ Central Michigan 61–46 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Central Michigan @ Western Michigan 64–69 regular
2015-02-05 2015 Central Michigan @ Bowling Green 57–54 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Ohio @ Central Michigan 74–66 regular
2015-01-29 2015 Kent State @ Central Michigan 63–65 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Akron @ Central Michigan 74–72 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Central Michigan @ Ohio 51–71 regular
2015-01-15 2015 Central Michigan @ Miami (OH) 60–54 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan 43–56 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Buffalo @ Central Michigan 58–66 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Central Michigan @ Kent State 83–62 regular
2014-12-31 2015 Dayton @ Central Michigan 98–89 regular
2014-12-28 2015 Oakland @ Central Michigan 69–74 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Central Michigan @ Minnesota 64–67 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Central Michigan @ South Carolina N 45–80 regular
2014-12-16 2015 Delaware State @ Central Michigan 63–91 regular
2014-12-13 2015 Central Michigan @ Dayton 76–86 regular
2014-12-06 2015 Central Michigan @ Memphis 61–62 regular
2014-11-29 2015 Oregon @ Central Michigan N 67–73 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Central Michigan @ Richmond N 61–56 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Kentucky @ Central Michigan 71–68 regular
2014-11-16 2015 Massachusetts @ Central Michigan 70–72 regular