cbb·system

Mercer Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.76 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.26 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.63 possessions per game 5.03

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Mercer AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.60 to 1.31 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025822 0.267

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMercer auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-06 2025 Mercer @ Chattanooga N 47–68 conf_tournament
2025-03-01 2025 UNC Greensboro @ Mercer 76–37 regular
2025-02-28 2025 Western Carolina @ Mercer 49–51 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Mercer @ Wofford 64–65 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Mercer @ Furman 70–72 regular
2025-02-15 2025 East Tennessee State @ Mercer 70–67 regular
2025-02-14 2025 Chattanooga @ Mercer 69–39 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Mercer @ Samford 49–65 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Mercer @ Western Carolina 71–66 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Mercer @ UNC Greensboro 37–70 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Furman @ Mercer 57–47 regular
2025-01-24 2025 Wofford @ Mercer 61–51 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Mercer @ Chattanooga 37–60 regular
2025-01-17 2025 Mercer @ East Tennessee State 46–70 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Samford @ Mercer 53–56 regular
2024-12-31 2025 Mercer @ Kennesaw State 62–59 regular
2024-12-21 2025 App State @ Mercer 74–61 regular
2024-12-20 2025 Jackson State @ Mercer 66–54 regular
2024-12-15 2025 Mercer @ Tulane 46–73 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Georgia Tech @ Mercer 78–42 regular
2024-12-05 2025 Charlotte @ Mercer 43–42 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Mercer @ Bethune-Cookman 70–64 regular
2024-11-27 2025 Mercer @ Jacksonville 49–74 regular
2024-11-24 2025 Mercer @ Austin Peay 53–66 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Charleston Southern @ Mercer 48–59 regular
2024-11-21 2025 Mercer @ Mississippi State 44–81 regular
2024-11-17 2025 North Carolina A&T @ Mercer 38–46 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Western Kentucky @ Mercer 78–54 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Mercer @ Florida Atlantic 48–58 regular
2024-11-05 2025 UNC Asheville @ Mercer 52–75 regular