cbb·system

Mercer Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.94 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.02 points per possession 0.16
PACE 70.07 possessions per game 4.49

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Mercer AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.62 to 1.22 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20152015 0.571

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbMercer auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-25 2015 Mercer @ Siena 54–65 other_postseason
2015-03-22 2015 Marshall @ Mercer 71–73 other_postseason
2015-03-19 2015 Troy @ Mercer 68–83 other_postseason
2015-03-06 2015 Mercer @ East Tennessee State N 56–66 conf_tournament
2015-03-05 2015 Wofford @ Mercer N 54–75 conf_tournament
2015-02-28 2015 Samford @ Mercer 65–70 regular
2015-02-24 2015 Chattanooga @ Mercer 56–51 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Mercer @ East Tennessee State 49–70 regular
2015-02-16 2015 Mercer @ Wofford 63–51 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Mercer @ Furman 88–82 regular
2015-02-10 2015 Western Carolina @ Mercer 60–82 regular
2015-02-07 2015 UNC Greensboro @ Mercer 62–80 regular
2015-02-03 2015 Mercer @ Samford 74–59 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Mercer @ Chattanooga 59–71 regular
2015-01-27 2015 East Tennessee State @ Mercer 72–70 regular
2015-01-20 2015 Furman @ Mercer 58–55 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Wofford @ Mercer 51–80 regular
2015-01-13 2015 Mercer @ UNC Greensboro 74–73 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Mercer @ Western Carolina 68–51 regular
2015-01-07 2015 Mercer @ Kennesaw State 54–44 regular
2015-01-04 2015 Florida A&M @ Mercer 47–61 regular
2015-01-01 2015 Mercer @ North Florida 55–57 regular
2014-12-30 2015 Mercer @ Jacksonville State 66–67 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Mercer @ Charleston 59–72 regular
2014-12-19 2015 Belmont @ Mercer 86–83 regular
2014-12-16 2015 Kennesaw State @ Mercer 76–56 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Mercer @ Alabama 46–39 regular
2014-12-06 2015 Mercer @ Georgia Southern 84–61 regular
2014-12-05 2015 Georgia @ Mercer 68–49 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Mercer @ Southern Illinois 52–67 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Mercer @ Saint Louis 80–75 regular
2014-11-26 2015 Tennessee Tech @ Mercer 67–73 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Eastern Kentucky @ Mercer 64–69 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Jackson State @ Mercer 48–80 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Mercer @ Mississippi State 66–97 regular