Mercer Bears
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Round of 64 (out) 2021
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.96 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.95 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.01 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 68.85 | possessions per game | 5.10 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 22:00),
with 29 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 0.64 to 1.24 over
102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | 7 | 0.731 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | Mercer | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-21 | 2021 | Mercer @ South Carolina N | 53–79 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-07 | 2021 | Wofford @ Mercer N | 38–60 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-05 | 2021 | Furman @ Mercer N | 71–81 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-04 | 2021 | Western Carolina @ Mercer N | 67–76 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Mercer @ East Tennessee State | 76–73 | regular |
| 2021-02-26 | 2021 | Samford @ Mercer | 74–65 | regular |
| 2021-02-21 | 2021 | Wofford @ Mercer | 74–83 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Wofford @ Mercer | 47–54 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Mercer @ East Tennessee State | postponed | regular |
| 2021-02-12 | 2021 | Mercer @ East Tennessee State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Mercer @ Western Carolina | 71–47 | regular |
| 2021-02-04 | 2021 | Mercer @ Western Carolina | 69–62 | regular |
| 2021-01-30 | 2021 | Chattanooga @ Mercer | 69–60 | regular |
| 2021-01-29 | 2021 | Chattanooga @ Mercer | 42–50 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Furman @ Mercer | 57–71 | regular |
| 2021-01-22 | 2021 | Furman @ Mercer | 66–69 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Mercer @ UNC Greensboro | 73–58 | regular |
| 2021-01-15 | 2021 | Mercer @ UNC Greensboro | 53–43 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Mercer @ Samford | 69–78 | regular |
| 2020-12-29 | 2021 | Mercer @ UNC Wilmington | 87–51 | regular |
| 2020-12-21 | 2021 | Mercer @ Tennessee Tech | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-19 | 2021 | Mercer @ Western Kentucky | 71–54 | regular |
| 2020-12-16 | 2021 | South Carolina State @ Mercer | 27–77 | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | Alabama @ Mercer | 78–61 | regular |
| 2020-12-11 | 2021 | Mercer @ UAB | 71–68 | regular |
| 2020-12-06 | 2021 | Alabama State @ Mercer | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | Covenant @ Mercer | 25–78 | non_d1 |
| 2020-12-02 | 2021 | Mercer @ Clemson | 54–67 | regular |
| 2020-11-28 | 2021 | Tennessee State @ Mercer | 61–81 | regular |
| 2020-11-25 | 2021 | Georgia @ Mercer | 83–64 | regular |