cbb·system

Louisville Cardinals

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.15 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.74 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.41 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.19 possessions per game 4.69

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Louisville AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.45 to 1.07 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
2020284 0.875

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbLouisville auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-07 2020 Florida State @ Louisville N 62–60 conf_tournament
2020-03-06 2020 Syracuse @ Louisville N 46–71 conf_tournament
2020-03-01 2020 Virginia Tech @ Louisville 53–70 regular
2020-02-27 2020 Boston College @ Louisville 48–68 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Louisville @ Pittsburgh 79–47 regular
2020-02-20 2020 Louisville @ Georgia Tech 58–47 regular
2020-02-16 2020 Notre Dame @ Louisville 49–82 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Louisville @ NC State 66–59 regular
2020-02-09 2020 Louisville @ Syracuse 51–59 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Florida State @ Louisville 67–59 regular
2020-01-31 2020 Louisville @ Notre Dame 86–54 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Pittsburgh @ Louisville 49–83 regular
2020-01-24 2020 Virginia @ Louisville 56–71 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Louisville @ North Carolina 74–67 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Louisville @ Boston College 81–70 regular
2020-01-12 2020 Wake Forest @ Louisville 61–75 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Louisville @ Miami 87–41 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Duke @ Louisville 55–60 regular
2020-01-03 2020 Louisville @ Clemson 75–50 regular
2019-12-29 2020 Syracuse @ Louisville 58–62 regular
2019-12-20 2020 Louisville @ UT Martin 71–63 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Louisville @ Kentucky 67–66 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Louisville @ Northern Kentucky 85–57 regular
2019-12-06 2020 Louisville @ Ohio State 60–67 regular
2019-11-30 2020 Louisville @ Oregon N 72–62 regular
2019-11-29 2020 Louisville @ Oklahoma State N 69–48 regular
2019-11-28 2020 UT Arlington @ Louisville N 67–76 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Boise State @ Louisville 82–98 regular
2019-11-21 2020 Chattanooga @ Louisville 37–86 regular
2019-11-14 2020 Central Michigan @ Louisville 63–76 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Murray State @ Louisville 40–76 regular
2019-11-06 2020 Western Kentucky @ Louisville 56–75 regular