cbb·system

Little Rock Trojans

mens Sun Belt canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.99 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.08 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.14 possessions per game 4.44

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Little Rock AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.65 to 1.29 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251914 0.576

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdLittle Rock auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-08 2025 Little Rock @ Southeast Missouri State N 59–78 conf_tournament
2025-03-07 2025 UT Martin @ Little Rock N 77–82 conf_tournament
2025-03-01 2025 Little Rock @ SIU Edwardsville 65–73 regular
2025-02-28 2025 Little Rock @ Eastern Illinois 60–71 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Western Illinois @ Little Rock 61–75 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Lindenwood @ Little Rock 93–92 regular
2025-02-14 2025 Tennessee Tech @ Little Rock 75–79 regular
2025-02-12 2025 Southeast Missouri State @ Little Rock 57–45 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Little Rock @ Morehead State 76–62 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Little Rock @ Southern Indiana 74–56 regular
2025-02-01 2025 UT Martin @ Little Rock 57–75 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Tennessee State @ Little Rock 72–70 regular
2025-01-27 2025 Eastern Illinois @ Little Rock N 56–54 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Little Rock @ Lindenwood 78–46 regular
2025-01-24 2025 Little Rock @ Western Illinois 62–51 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Little Rock @ Tennessee Tech 77–71 regular
2025-01-15 2025 Little Rock @ Southeast Missouri State 73–71 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Southern Indiana @ Little Rock 58–78 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Morehead State @ Little Rock 59–53 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Little Rock @ Tennessee State 86–95 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Little Rock @ UT Martin 57–56 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Eastern Illinois @ Little Rock canceled regular
2024-12-20 2025 SIU Edwardsville @ Little Rock 56–60 regular
2024-12-15 2025 UIC @ Little Rock 77–69 regular
2024-12-11 2025 Ouachita Baptist @ Little Rock 57–80 non_d1
2024-12-05 2025 Central Arkansas @ Little Rock 57–63 regular
2024-11-28 2025 Maryland Eastern Shore @ Little Rock 59–78 regular
2024-11-26 2025 Little Rock @ Illinois 34–92 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Little Rock @ Arkansas 67–79 regular
2024-11-21 2025 Little Rock @ Tulsa 71–57 regular
2024-11-16 2025 Little Rock @ UTSA 81–64 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Little Rock @ Arkansas State 63–80 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Little Rock @ Winthrop 67–82 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Arkansas Baptist @ Little Rock 64–84 non_d1