Missouri State Bears
mens
MVC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.11 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.01 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.10 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 68.25 | possessions per game | 4.50 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 00:47),
with 27 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans 0.57 to 1.28 over
99 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 16 | 7 | 0.696 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Missouri State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Drake N | 69–71 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Missouri State N | 55–66 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-02-28 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Evansville | 63–72 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Evansville | 90–81 | regular |
| 2021-02-18 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Southern Illinois | 68–53 | regular |
| 2021-02-14 | 2021 | Bradley @ Missouri State | 57–72 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Bradley @ Missouri State | 58–80 | regular |
| 2021-02-11 | 2021 | Southern Illinois @ Missouri State | 53–65 | regular |
| 2021-02-07 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 72–62 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 74–67 | regular |
| 2021-02-02 | 2021 | Loyola Chicago @ Missouri State | 70–50 | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | Loyola Chicago @ Missouri State | 72–46 | regular |
| 2021-01-28 | 2021 | Drake @ Missouri State | 78–73 | regular |
| 2021-01-27 | 2021 | Drake @ Missouri State | 68–61 | regular |
| 2021-01-18 | 2021 | Drake @ Missouri State | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-17 | 2021 | Missouri S&T @ Missouri State | 49–94 | non_d1 |
| 2021-01-17 | 2021 | Drake @ Missouri State | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-10 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Valparaiso | 78–68 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Valparaiso | 81–68 | regular |
| 2021-01-03 | 2021 | Indiana State @ Missouri State | 66–70 | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Indiana State @ Missouri State | 74–84 | regular |
| 2020-12-29 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Northern Iowa | 75–85 | regular |
| 2020-12-27 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Northern Iowa | 79–59 | regular |
| 2020-12-22 | 2021 | Little Rock @ Missouri State | 77–85 | regular |
| 2020-12-20 | 2021 | Northwestern State @ Missouri State | 67–94 | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | SE Louisiana @ Missouri State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-06 | 2021 | Mississippi Valley State @ Missouri State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-02 | 2021 | Central Arkansas @ Missouri State | canceled | regular |
| 2020-11-29 | 2021 | Ecclesia @ Missouri State | canceled | non_d1 |
| 2020-11-28 | 2021 | Evangel @ Missouri State | canceled | non_d1 |