Missouri State Bears
mens
MVC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2025
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.03 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.10 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.07 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 64.41 | possessions per game | 4.52 |
At season 2025's latest cutoff
(2025-04-08 00:50),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025.
Axis spans 0.69 to 1.37 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2025
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9 | 23 | 0.281 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Missouri State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-06 | 2025 | Missouri State @ Illinois State N | 54–70 | conf_tournament |
| 2025-03-02 | 2025 | Missouri State @ Drake | 60–68 | regular |
| 2025-02-27 | 2025 | Belmont @ Missouri State | 74–65 | regular |
| 2025-02-23 | 2025 | Illinois State @ Missouri State | 70–68 | regular |
| 2025-02-20 | 2025 | Missouri State @ Valparaiso | 64–66 | regular |
| 2025-02-16 | 2025 | Missouri State @ UIC | 58–63 | regular |
| 2025-02-13 | 2025 | Evansville @ Missouri State | 54–71 | regular |
| 2025-02-08 | 2025 | Missouri State @ Belmont | 68–85 | regular |
| 2025-02-06 | 2025 | Northern Iowa @ Missouri State | 66–61 | regular |
| 2025-02-01 | 2025 | Murray State @ Missouri State | 56–77 | regular |
| 2025-01-30 | 2025 | Missouri State @ Indiana State | 67–72 | regular |
| 2025-01-25 | 2025 | Drake @ Missouri State | 69–62 | regular |
| 2025-01-22 | 2025 | Missouri State @ Northern Iowa | 68–79 | regular |
| 2025-01-18 | 2025 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 68–74 | regular |
| 2025-01-16 | 2025 | Southern Illinois @ Missouri State | 73–51 | regular |
| 2025-01-12 | 2025 | Missouri State @ Southern Illinois | 78–88 | regular |
| 2025-01-08 | 2025 | UIC @ Missouri State | 80–63 | regular |
| 2025-01-05 | 2025 | Missouri State @ Bradley | 60–69 | regular |
| 2025-01-02 | 2025 | Valparaiso @ Missouri State | 73–72 | regular |
| 2024-12-29 | 2025 | Missouri State @ Evansville | 40–57 | regular |
| 2024-12-22 | 2025 | UC Santa Barbara @ Missouri State | 56–68 | regular |
| 2024-12-19 | 2025 | Lincoln (MO) @ Missouri State | 49–61 | non_d1 |
| 2024-12-14 | 2025 | Missouri State @ Washington State | 78–91 | regular |
| 2024-12-08 | 2025 | Indiana State @ Missouri State | 80–77 | regular |
| 2024-12-01 | 2025 | Missouri State @ Oral Roberts | 72–67 | regular |
| 2024-11-26 | 2025 | South Dakota State @ Missouri State N | 75–55 | regular |
| 2024-11-26 | 2025 | Missouri State @ Boston College N | 74–76 | regular |
| 2024-11-24 | 2025 | Missouri State @ High Point N | 71–61 | regular |
| 2024-11-20 | 2025 | UT Arlington @ Missouri State | 68–78 | regular |
| 2024-11-16 | 2025 | Tulsa @ Missouri State | 106–111 | regular |
| 2024-11-12 | 2025 | Missouri Southern State @ Missouri State | 61–90 | non_d1 |
| 2024-11-04 | 2025 | Missouri State @ Butler | 65–72 | regular |