Missouri State Bears
mens
MVC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.13 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.14 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.01 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 64.51 | possessions per game | 4.72 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-07 00:50),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans 0.84 to 1.42 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16 | 18 | 0.471 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Missouri State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Louisiana Tech N | 66–69 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-11 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Liberty N | 77–69 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-10 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Florida International N | 75–72 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-07 | 2026 | Middle Tennessee @ Missouri State | 75–63 | regular |
| 2026-03-06 | 2026 | Western Kentucky @ Missouri State | 74–87 | regular |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Sam Houston | 81–86 | regular |
| 2026-02-27 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Louisiana Tech | 70–72 | regular |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Florida International | 67–70 | regular |
| 2026-02-19 | 2026 | Kennesaw State @ Missouri State | 91–87 | regular |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026 | Delaware @ Missouri State | 76–67 | regular |
| 2026-02-13 | 2026 | Louisiana Tech @ Missouri State | 79–78 | regular |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Liberty | 76–79 | regular |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026 | Jacksonville State @ Missouri State | 67–74 | regular |
| 2026-01-29 | 2026 | Sam Houston @ Missouri State | 80–71 | regular |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026 | Missouri State @ UTEP | 62–57 | regular |
| 2026-01-23 | 2026 | Missouri State @ New Mexico State | 84–75 | regular |
| 2026-01-17 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Middle Tennessee | 87–90 | regular |
| 2026-01-15 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Western Kentucky | 72–87 | regular |
| 2026-01-10 | 2026 | Florida International @ Missouri State | 71–79 | regular |
| 2026-01-08 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Kennesaw State | 80–90 | regular |
| 2026-01-04 | 2026 | New Mexico State @ Missouri State | 82–89 | regular |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026 | UTEP @ Missouri State | 55–79 | regular |
| 2025-12-29 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Delaware | 61–43 | regular |
| 2025-12-23 | 2026 | Lindenwood @ Missouri State | 65–70 | regular |
| 2025-12-17 | 2026 | Oral Roberts @ Missouri State | 62–63 | regular |
| 2025-12-13 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Xavier | 57–75 | regular |
| 2025-12-06 | 2026 | Missouri State @ Tulsa | 74–98 | regular |
| 2025-11-30 | 2026 | Northeastern State @ Missouri State | 71–92 | non_d1 |
| 2025-11-25 | 2026 | Long Island University @ Missouri State | 75–61 | regular |
| 2025-11-22 | 2026 | UT Rio Grande Valley @ Missouri State | 67–74 | regular |
| 2025-11-15 | 2026 | Missouri State @ UT Arlington | 49–67 | regular |
| 2025-11-12 | 2026 | Arkansas State @ Missouri State | 86–85 | regular |
| 2025-11-09 | 2026 | Northwestern Oklahoma State @ Missouri State | 57–106 | non_d1 |
| 2025-11-05 | 2026 | Missouri Southern State @ Missouri State | 70–88 | non_d1 |