Missouri State Bears
mens
MVC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2024
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.06 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.04 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.02 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 68.53 | possessions per game | 4.46 |
At season 2024's latest cutoff
(2024-04-09 01:20),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024.
Axis spans 58.66 to 78.87 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2024
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | 16 | 0.515 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Missouri State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-08 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Indiana State N | 59–75 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-07 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Murray State N | 60–35 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-03 | 2024 | UIC @ Missouri State | 59–69 | regular |
| 2024-02-29 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 74–75 | regular |
| 2024-02-24 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Belmont | 78–93 | regular |
| 2024-02-22 | 2024 | Bradley @ Missouri State | 86–62 | regular |
| 2024-02-17 | 2024 | Valparaiso @ Missouri State | 74–82 | regular |
| 2024-02-15 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Murray State | 72–82 | regular |
| 2024-02-10 | 2024 | Indiana State @ Missouri State | 73–71 | regular |
| 2024-02-08 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Northern Iowa | 65–72 | regular |
| 2024-02-03 | 2024 | Belmont @ Missouri State | 80–87 | regular |
| 2024-02-01 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Southern Illinois | 76–75 | regular |
| 2024-01-27 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Valparaiso | 81–70 | regular |
| 2024-01-25 | 2024 | Drake @ Missouri State | 80–83 | regular |
| 2024-01-20 | 2024 | Illinois State @ Missouri State | 69–60 | regular |
| 2024-01-17 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Indiana State | 66–88 | regular |
| 2024-01-14 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Evansville | 74–64 | regular |
| 2024-01-11 | 2024 | Murray State @ Missouri State | 77–53 | regular |
| 2024-01-06 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Bradley | 60–86 | regular |
| 2024-01-04 | 2024 | Northern Iowa @ Missouri State | 64–62 | regular |
| 2023-12-24 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Saint Mary's | 69–64 | regular |
| 2023-12-20 | 2024 | Lindenwood @ Missouri State | 57–79 | regular |
| 2023-12-16 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Tulsa | 72–73 | regular |
| 2023-12-10 | 2024 | Sam Houston @ Missouri State | 60–69 | regular |
| 2023-12-06 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Middle Tennessee | 73–77 | regular |
| 2023-12-02 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Drake | 57–74 | regular |
| 2023-11-30 | 2024 | Evansville @ Missouri State | 78–90 | regular |
| 2023-11-25 | 2024 | South Carolina State @ Missouri State | 74–92 | regular |
| 2023-11-21 | 2024 | Abilene Christian @ Missouri State N | 69–87 | regular |
| 2023-11-20 | 2024 | Kent State @ Missouri State N | 52–56 | regular |
| 2023-11-18 | 2024 | Missouri State @ Florida Gulf Coast N | 70–61 | regular |
| 2023-11-14 | 2024 | Oral Roberts @ Missouri State | 69–84 | regular |
| 2023-11-07 | 2024 | Missouri State @ West Virginia | 59–67 | regular |