cbb·system

VCU Rams

mens A-10 canonical name from espn_mbb #11 Round of 64 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.19 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.23 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.97 possessions per game 4.50

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

VCU AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans 0.82 to 1.45 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025287 0.800

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdVCU auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-20 2025 VCU @ BYU N 71–80 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-16 2025 George Mason @ VCU N 63–68 conf_tournament
2025-03-15 2025 Loyola Chicago @ VCU N 55–62 conf_tournament
2025-03-14 2025 St. Bonaventure @ VCU N 59–76 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Dayton @ VCU 79–76 regular
2025-03-05 2025 VCU @ Duquesne 71–62 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Davidson @ VCU 56–80 regular
2025-02-26 2025 VCU @ Richmond 78–60 regular
2025-02-22 2025 George Mason @ VCU 54–70 regular
2025-02-19 2025 Massachusetts @ VCU 51–80 regular
2025-02-13 2025 VCU @ George Washington 80–72 regular
2025-02-08 2025 VCU @ Dayton 73–68 regular
2025-02-05 2025 La Salle @ VCU 66–96 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Richmond @ VCU 49–90 regular
2025-01-29 2025 VCU @ Saint Louis 69–78 regular
2025-01-25 2025 St. Bonaventure @ VCU 61–75 regular
2025-01-22 2025 VCU @ Rhode Island 81–57 regular
2025-01-18 2025 VCU @ Saint Joseph's 78–69 regular
2025-01-15 2025 Saint Louis @ VCU 62–78 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Fordham @ VCU 61–73 regular
2025-01-04 2025 VCU @ Loyola Chicago 84–65 regular
2024-12-31 2025 VCU @ St. Bonaventure 75–77 regular
2024-12-22 2025 William & Mary @ VCU 70–90 regular
2024-12-19 2025 VCU @ New Mexico 71–78 regular
2024-12-15 2025 VCU @ Colorado State N 76–68 regular
2024-12-10 2025 Pennsylvania @ VCU 47–66 regular
2024-12-05 2025 Georgia Southern @ VCU 54–89 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Elizabeth City State @ VCU 58–103 non_d1
2024-11-24 2025 Miami @ VCU N 70–77 regular
2024-11-23 2025 VCU @ Nevada N 61–64 regular
2024-11-21 2025 Seton Hall @ VCU N 69–66 regular
2024-11-17 2025 Loyola Maryland @ VCU 57–83 regular
2024-11-14 2025 Merrimack @ VCU 42–63 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Boston College @ VCU N 55–80 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Bellarmine @ VCU 65–84 regular