cbb·system

Pennsylvania Quakers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.88 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.04 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.16 points per possession 0.16
PACE 73.35 possessions per game 4.36

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 26 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Pennsylvania AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans 0.75 to 1.40 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
2015219 0.700

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbPennsylvania auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-22 2015 Temple @ Pennsylvania 61–56 other_postseason
2015-03-19 2015 Hofstra @ Pennsylvania 58–65 other_postseason
2015-03-10 2015 Princeton @ Pennsylvania 55–42 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Pennsylvania @ Cornell 56–42 regular
2015-03-07 2015 Pennsylvania @ Columbia 50–36 regular
2015-03-01 2015 Yale @ Pennsylvania 33–59 regular
2015-02-28 2015 Brown @ Pennsylvania 58–75 regular
2015-02-22 2015 Dartmouth @ Pennsylvania 46–63 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Harvard @ Pennsylvania 61–71 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Pennsylvania @ Brown 83–75 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Pennsylvania @ Yale 61–42 regular
2015-02-08 2015 Columbia @ Pennsylvania 57–78 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Cornell @ Pennsylvania 60–49 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Pennsylvania @ Harvard 74–69 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Pennsylvania @ Dartmouth 55–39 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Pennsylvania @ NJIT 59–29 regular
2015-01-21 2015 Villanova @ Pennsylvania 70–44 regular
2015-01-15 2015 Richmond @ Pennsylvania 47–49 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Pennsylvania @ Princeton 54–83 regular
2015-01-06 2015 Temple @ Pennsylvania 50–52 regular
2014-12-31 2015 King's @ Pennsylvania 20–85 non_d1
2014-12-30 2015 UMBC @ Pennsylvania 63–69 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Pennsylvania @ Drexel 58–67 regular
2014-12-09 2015 Saint Joseph's @ Pennsylvania 51–65 regular
2014-12-06 2015 Hampton @ Pennsylvania 58–43 regular
2014-12-03 2015 Pennsylvania @ Lafayette 57–60 regular
2014-11-26 2015 New Hampshire @ Pennsylvania 39–74 regular
2014-11-23 2015 Pennsylvania @ Navy 60–51 regular
2014-11-20 2015 La Salle @ Pennsylvania 29–57 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Pennsylvania @ Tennessee 52–97 regular