cbb·system

Bradley Braves

mens MVC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.09 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.11 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.72 possessions per game 4.45

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Bradley AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjPace (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 54.25 to 74.95 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232510 0.714

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdBradley auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-15 2023 Bradley @ Wisconsin 62–81 nit
2023-03-05 2023 Drake @ Bradley N 77–51 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Indiana State @ Bradley N 70–71 conf_tournament
2023-03-03 2023 Northern Iowa @ Bradley N 66–72 conf_tournament
2023-02-26 2023 Drake @ Bradley 61–73 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Bradley @ Valparaiso 76–66 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Bradley @ Southern Illinois 50–48 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Missouri State @ Bradley 54–64 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Murray State @ Bradley 48–83 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Bradley @ Illinois State 79–61 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Bradley @ Northern Iowa 77–69 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Southern Illinois @ Bradley 52–62 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Bradley @ UIC 83–76 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Illinois State @ Bradley 75–79 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Belmont @ Bradley 78–76 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Bradley @ Indiana State 78–67 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Bradley @ Drake 61–86 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Evansville @ Bradley 46–91 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Valparaiso @ Bradley 66–88 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Bradley @ Murray State 58–67 regular
2022-12-31 2023 UIC @ Bradley 45–79 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Bradley @ Belmont 60–63 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Akron @ Bradley 55–74 regular
2022-12-20 2023 Stonehill @ Bradley 50–79 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Bradley @ Arkansas 57–76 regular
2022-12-07 2023 Bradley @ SIU Edwardsville 56–54 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Bradley @ Missouri State 58–40 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Northern Iowa @ Bradley 53–68 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Merrimack @ Bradley 41–83 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Bradley @ Liberty N 44–55 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Bradley @ Auburn N 64–85 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Southeast Missouri State @ Bradley 60–73 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Eastern Michigan @ Bradley 61–89 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Bradley @ Utah State 62–84 regular
2022-11-08 2023 UW-Parkside @ Bradley 59–93 non_d1