cbb·system

Belmont Bruins

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2019

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.02 points per possession 0.14
DE 0.90 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.12 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.86 possessions per game 5.06

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Belmont AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -0.37 to 1.70 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
2019267 0.788

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBelmont auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-22 2019 Belmont @ South Carolina N 52–74 ncaa_tournament
2019-03-09 2019 UT Martin @ Belmont N 53–59 conf_tournament
2019-03-08 2019 Tennessee Tech @ Belmont N 48–62 conf_tournament
2019-03-06 2019 Southeast Missouri State @ Belmont N 65–74 conf_tournament
2019-03-02 2019 Belmont @ Southeast Missouri State 92–86 regular
2019-02-28 2019 Belmont @ UT Martin 68–71 regular
2019-02-23 2019 SIU Edwardsville @ Belmont 54–87 regular
2019-02-21 2019 Eastern Illinois @ Belmont 57–98 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Belmont @ Tennessee Tech 99–67 regular
2019-02-13 2019 Belmont @ Tennessee State 89–65 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Belmont @ Morehead State 77–57 regular
2019-02-07 2019 Belmont @ Eastern Kentucky 87–52 regular
2019-02-02 2019 UT Martin @ Belmont 86–100 regular
2019-01-31 2019 Southeast Missouri State @ Belmont 57–91 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Belmont @ Austin Peay 80–62 regular
2019-01-24 2019 Belmont @ Murray State 65–58 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Tennessee State @ Belmont 46–80 regular
2019-01-17 2019 Belmont @ Jacksonville State 64–41 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Eastern Kentucky @ Belmont 43–69 regular
2019-01-10 2019 Morehead State @ Belmont 50–77 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Tennessee Tech @ Belmont 77–72 regular
2019-01-03 2019 Jacksonville State @ Belmont 52–66 regular
2018-12-30 2019 Belmont @ Tennessee 76–84 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Arkansas State @ Belmont 55–74 regular
2018-12-18 2019 Belmont @ Chattanooga 67–51 regular
2018-12-04 2019 Lipscomb @ Belmont 43–83 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Belmont @ Clemson 62–65 regular
2018-11-29 2019 Toledo @ Belmont 78–69 regular
2018-11-21 2019 Belmont @ Northern Kentucky 71–53 regular
2018-11-20 2019 Belmont @ Middle Tennessee 45–38 regular
2018-11-16 2019 Belmont @ Wright State 79–63 regular
2018-11-12 2019 Tulsa @ Belmont 53–78 regular
2018-11-08 2019 Belmont @ NC State 62–77 regular