cbb·system

Fairfield Stags

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.85 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.98 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.14 points per possession 0.18
PACE 63.42 possessions per game 5.14

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Fairfield AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans 0.72 to 1.24 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181317 0.433

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbFairfield auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-03 2018 Rider @ Fairfield N 71–64 conf_tournament
2018-02-25 2018 Iona @ Fairfield 39–59 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Fairfield @ Monmouth 65–73 regular
2018-02-20 2018 Fairfield @ Saint Peter's 62–40 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Siena @ Fairfield 43–44 regular
2018-02-15 2018 Marist @ Fairfield 48–34 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Fairfield @ Manhattan 44–55 regular
2018-02-08 2018 Fairfield @ Iona 78–68 regular
2018-02-04 2018 Manhattan @ Fairfield 52–55 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Quinnipiac @ Fairfield 58–39 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Fairfield @ Rider 68–57 regular
2018-01-23 2018 Fairfield @ Siena 40–51 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Fairfield @ Quinnipiac 45–77 regular
2018-01-16 2018 Saint Peter's @ Fairfield 41–62 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Fairfield @ Marist 63–71 regular
2018-01-11 2018 Rider @ Fairfield 61–45 regular
2018-01-05 2018 Monmouth @ Fairfield 55–61 regular
2018-01-03 2018 Niagara @ Fairfield 53–59 regular
2017-12-29 2018 Fairfield @ Canisius 56–52 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Fairfield @ Seton Hall 61–80 regular
2017-12-12 2018 Fairfield @ Rhode Island 47–62 regular
2017-12-07 2018 Villanova @ Fairfield 73–44 regular
2017-12-03 2018 Fairfield @ Boston College 66–58 regular
2017-11-30 2018 UMass Lowell @ Fairfield 67–78 regular
2017-11-26 2018 New Hampshire @ Fairfield N 71–61 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Fairfield @ Lehigh 53–56 regular
2017-11-22 2018 Mount St. Mary's @ Fairfield 65–76 regular
2017-11-18 2018 Fairfield @ Northeastern 43–63 regular
2017-11-15 2018 Fairfield @ William & Mary 47–57 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Richmond @ Fairfield 72–67 regular