cbb·system

Fairfield Stags

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.85 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.12 points per possession 0.19
PACE 63.47 possessions per game 4.88

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-12 18:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Fairfield AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2020. Axis spans 0.63 to 1.27 over 107 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20201614 0.533

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbFairfield auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-12 2020 Siena @ Fairfield N 56–72 conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Niagara @ Fairfield 49–71 regular
2020-03-06 2020 Siena @ Fairfield 46–58 regular
2020-02-29 2020 Fairfield @ Manhattan 38–51 regular
2020-02-28 2020 Rider @ Fairfield 68–60 regular
2020-02-25 2020 Fairfield @ Marist 45–75 regular
2020-02-22 2020 Quinnipiac @ Fairfield 60–72 regular
2020-02-19 2020 Fairfield @ Saint Peter's 63–66 regular
2020-02-15 2020 Iona @ Fairfield 59–52 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Fairfield @ Monmouth 40–39 regular
2020-02-08 2020 Fairfield @ Canisius 63–70 regular
2020-02-07 2020 Fairfield @ Niagara 77–65 regular
2020-01-31 2020 Marist @ Fairfield 48–52 regular
2020-01-29 2020 Fairfield @ Rider 52–60 regular
2020-01-25 2020 Fairfield @ Quinnipiac 62–76 regular
2020-01-24 2020 Manhattan @ Fairfield 47–87 regular
2020-01-18 2020 Fairfield @ Iona 52–40 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Canisius @ Fairfield 70–72 regular
2020-01-11 2020 Saint Peter's @ Fairfield 48–67 regular
2020-01-09 2020 Monmouth @ Fairfield 38–49 regular
2020-01-03 2020 Fairfield @ Siena 65–35 regular
2019-12-22 2020 Brown @ Fairfield 58–44 regular
2019-12-20 2020 Fairfield @ St. John's 69–71 regular
2019-12-07 2020 Hofstra @ Fairfield 64–73 regular
2019-12-04 2020 Navy @ Fairfield 52–66 regular
2019-12-01 2020 Fairfield @ Rhode Island 41–74 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Dartmouth @ Fairfield 52–51 regular
2019-11-14 2020 Fairfield @ Long Island University 53–51 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Fairfield @ Seton Hall 44–74 regular
2019-11-05 2020 Fairfield @ Temple 59–77 regular