cbb·system

Fairfield Stags

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.14 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.82 possessions per game 4.62

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Fairfield AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.63 to 1.22 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231515 0.500

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbFairfield auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-09 2023 Fairfield @ Siena N 53–59 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Fairfield @ Quinnipiac 39–52 regular
2023-03-02 2023 Saint Peter's @ Fairfield 53–65 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Marist @ Fairfield 57–73 regular
2023-02-19 2023 Fairfield @ Niagara 56–65 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Fairfield @ Canisius 60–73 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Quinnipiac @ Fairfield 66–60 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Fairfield @ Iona 55–66 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Rider @ Fairfield 49–62 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Fairfield @ Manhattan 46–53 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Canisius @ Fairfield 55–65 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Mount St. Mary's @ Fairfield 53–54 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Fairfield @ Rider 64–61 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Siena @ Fairfield 55–51 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Fairfield @ Marist 43–34 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Niagara @ Fairfield 70–62 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Manhattan @ Fairfield 50–52 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Fairfield @ Siena 46–61 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Fairfield @ Mount St. Mary's 62–56 regular
2022-12-20 2023 Iona @ Fairfield 43–49 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Fairfield @ Saint Peter's 76–49 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Sacred Heart @ Fairfield 69–58 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Fairfield @ Dayton 90–83 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Fairfield @ Binghamton 72–77 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Fairfield @ Fordham 82–75 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Michigan @ Fairfield 69–53 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Stonehill @ Fairfield 53–77 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Fairfield @ Yale 61–68 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Fairfield @ Penn State 49–77 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Fairfield @ Brown 62–52 regular