cbb·system

Fairfield Stags

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.10 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.18 points per possession 0.16
PACE 61.53 possessions per game 5.24

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Fairfield AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjOE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans 0.62 to 1.19 over 109 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20142211 0.667

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbFairfield auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-27 2014 Fairfield @ UIC 44–74 other_postseason
2014-03-23 2014 Maine @ Fairfield 50–63 other_postseason
2014-03-19 2014 Fairfield @ Bryant 90–86 other_postseason
2014-03-08 2014 Rider @ Fairfield N 63–56 conf_tournament
2014-03-02 2014 Fairfield @ Niagara 74–62 regular
2014-03-01 2014 Fairfield @ Canisius 45–52 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Fairfield @ Siena 57–47 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Manhattan @ Fairfield 52–73 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Saint Peter's @ Fairfield 39–71 regular
2014-02-13 2014 Rider @ Fairfield 50–52 regular
2014-02-09 2014 Fairfield @ Marist 72–68 regular
2014-02-05 2014 Monmouth @ Fairfield 50–60 regular
2014-02-01 2014 Fairfield @ Saint Peter's 52–40 regular
2014-01-31 2014 Fairfield @ Iona 55–68 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Fairfield @ Quinnipiac 61–52 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Canisius @ Fairfield 57–63 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Iona @ Fairfield 64–59 regular
2014-01-16 2014 Siena @ Fairfield 65–66 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Marist @ Fairfield 60–36 regular
2014-01-09 2014 Fairfield @ Manhattan 58–49 regular
2014-01-05 2014 Quinnipiac @ Fairfield 71–72 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Fairfield @ Monmouth 57–62 regular
2013-12-31 2014 Niagara @ Fairfield 77–81 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Fairfield @ Rider 67–61 regular
2013-12-19 2014 Oklahoma @ Fairfield 79–51 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Fairfield @ Maine N 80–59 regular
2013-12-07 2014 Morgan State @ Fairfield N 46–75 regular
2013-12-03 2014 Fairfield @ Gonzaga 42–82 regular
2013-11-26 2014 La Salle @ Fairfield 59–64 regular
2013-11-22 2014 Lehigh @ Fairfield 73–67 regular
2013-11-17 2014 Fairfield @ St. Bonaventure 59–74 regular
2013-11-10 2014 Fairfield @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 58–55 regular
2013-11-08 2014 UAB @ Fairfield N 54–59 regular